Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 18/07, 18:00
Prediction: Throttur Reykjavik vs Volsungur
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.99Total
Throttur Reykjavik2.99
Volsungur0.99
1X2
Throttur Reykjavik
Draw
Volsungur
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Throttur Reykjavik
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Volsungur
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Throttur Reykjavik
3–3–0
Volsungur
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Throttur Reykjavik 1536 · Volsungur 1428
| Throttur Reykjavik | Draw | Volsungur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 79% | 13% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.99 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Throttur Reykjavik (rating 1536 vs 1428).
- H2H favours Throttur Reykjavik: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Throttur Reykjavik | Volsungur | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.1 | 1.6 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Throttur Reykjavik 3–3–0 Volsungur
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Iceland 1 Deild | Volsungur | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Throttur Reykjavik |
| 09/08/25 Iceland 1 Deild | Volsungur | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Throttur Reykjavik |
| 29/05/25 Iceland 1 Deild | Throttur Reykjavik | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Volsungur |
| 18/04/25 Iceland Cup | Volsungur | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Throttur Reykjavik |
| 10/09/22 Iceland 2 Deild | Volsungur | 1-1 | Throttur Reykjavik |
| 03/07/22 Iceland 2 Deild | Throttur Reykjavik | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Volsungur |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Afturelding | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Fylkir Reykjavik | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 27 |
| 3 | HK Kopavogur | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 24 | 25 |
| 4 | Throttur Reykjavik | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | IF Vestri | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 21 |
| 6 | Njardvik | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 20 |
| 7 | Leiknir Reykjavik | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 19 |
| 8 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 27 | 19 |
| 9 | Grindavik | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 18 | 13 |
| 10 | IR Reykjavik | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 36 | 12 |
| 11 | Volsungur | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 33 | 8 |
| 12 | KF Aegir | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 8 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Throttur Reykjavik | Volsungur |
|---|---|---|
| IR Reykjavik | 1-1 D | 4-4 D |
| Njardvik | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| IF Vestri | 1-1 D | 1-5 L |
| KF Aegir | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| HK Kopavogur | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Fylkir Reykjavik | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Grindavik | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Afturelding | 3-4 L | 1-6 L |
| Leiknir Reykjavik | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Throttur Reykjavik (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Throttur Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 03/07 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 21/06 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 12/06 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/06 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
2-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
2-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 18/05 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
Volsungur
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
1-4 | 1-6 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 04/07 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 27/06 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 1-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
0-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 27/05 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Throttur Reykjavik vs Volsungur?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Throttur Reykjavik win (78%). Probabilities: Throttur Reykjavik 78%, draw 14%, Volsungur 8%.
How many goals are expected in Throttur Reykjavik vs Volsungur?
The model expects 3.99 goals (Throttur Reykjavik 2.99 · Volsungur 0.99), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Throttur Reykjavik vs Volsungur?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.