Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 24/07, 20:00

Prediction: Volsungur vs Grindavik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Volsungur1.36

Grindavik1.81

1X2

28% 25% 47%

Volsungur Draw Grindavik

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Volsungur 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Grindavik 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Volsungur 2–3 Grindavik (5 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Volsungur 1442 · Grindavik 1467

	Volsungur	Draw	Grindavik
Our model	28%	25%	47%
Market	28%	26%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Grindavik: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Volsungur	Grindavik
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.7	0.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.3	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.7	2 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.50

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:37 +30’	3.25	3.50	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Volsungur 2–0–3 Grindavik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Iceland 1 Deild	Grindavik	3-1 HT 1-1	Volsungur
30/08/25 Iceland 1 Deild	Volsungur	2-0 HT 1-0	Grindavik
21/06/25 Iceland 1 Deild	Grindavik	2-4 HT 0-2	Volsungur
17/05/17 Iceland Cup	Grindavik	7-1 HT 3-1	Volsungur
02/06/15 Iceland Cup	Volsungur	3-4 HT 0-4	Grindavik

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Afturelding	14	10	1	3	43	21	31
2	Fylkir Reykjavik	14	10	0	4	32	20	30
3	HK Kopavogur	15	9	1	5	36	26	28
4	Throttur Reykjavik	14	8	3	3	27	14	27
5	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	14	7	1	6	29	28	22
6	IF Vestri	15	6	3	6	26	31	21
7	Njardvik	14	6	2	6	20	19	20
8	Leiknir Reykjavik	14	5	4	5	19	19	19
9	Grindavik	14	2	8	4	15	18	14
10	IR Reykjavik	15	3	4	8	25	36	13
11	Volsungur	14	1	5	8	17	34	8
12	KF Aegir	15	2	2	11	19	42	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Volsungur	Grindavik
Throttur Reykjavik	0-1 L	0-2 L
Afturelding	1-6 L	1-3 L
Leiknir Reykjavik	3-3 D	0-0 D
Grotta Seltjarnarnes	2-2 D	2-1 W
IR Reykjavik	4-4 D	0-0 D
Njardvik	2-1 W	4-5 L
IF Vestri	1-5 L	0-0 D
KF Aegir	2-3 L	0-0 D
HK Kopavogur	0-1 L	2-2 D
Fylkir Reykjavik	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 6 L	1 W 5 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Grindavik (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Volsungur

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
11/07	Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild	1-4	1-6	7	9	L
04/07	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	3-3	6	7	D
27/06	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	2-2	3	5	D
21/06	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-3	4-4	4	4	D
13/06	Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	2-1	6	4	W
06/06	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	1-5	4	3	L
31/05	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	0-2	2-3	11	3	L
27/05	HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
23/05	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	0-1	1	3	L

Grindavik

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
14/07	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	2-1	8	2	W
10/07	Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild	3-3	4-5	1	4	L
04/07	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
26/06	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
21/06	HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild	1-2	2-2	5	6	D
17/06	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
01/06	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
27/05	Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild	0-2	1-3	7	6	L
22/05	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Volsungur vs Grindavik?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Grindavik win (47%). Probabilities: Volsungur 28%, draw 25%, Grindavik 47%.

How many goals are expected in Volsungur vs Grindavik?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Volsungur 1.36 · Grindavik 1.81), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Volsungur vs Grindavik?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.