Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 23/07, 21:15
Prediction: Leiknir Reykjavik vs Throttur Reykjavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
Leiknir Reykjavik1.12
Throttur Reykjavik1.91
1X2
Leiknir Reykjavik
Draw
Throttur Reykjavik
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Leiknir Reykjavik
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Throttur Reykjavik
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Leiknir Reykjavik
2–3–1
Throttur Reykjavik
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leiknir Reykjavik 1491 · Throttur Reykjavik 1541
| Leiknir Reykjavik | Draw | Throttur Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 24% | 55% |
| Market | 22% | 23% | 55% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Throttur Reykjavik (rating 1491 vs 1541).
- H2H favours Leiknir Reykjavik: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leiknir Reykjavik | Throttur Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.3 | 3.1 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.3 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leiknir Reykjavik 2–3–1 Throttur Reykjavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/26 Iceland 1 Deild | Throttur Reykjavik | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Leiknir Reykjavik |
| 31/01/26 Iceland League Cup | Leiknir Reykjavik | 1-4 HT 1-0 | Throttur Reykjavik |
| 18/07/25 Iceland 1 Deild | Leiknir Reykjavik | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Throttur Reykjavik |
| 02/05/25 Iceland 1 Deild | Throttur Reykjavik | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Leiknir Reykjavik |
| 08/09/24 Iceland 1 Deild | Throttur Reykjavik | 2-3 HT 0-3 | Leiknir Reykjavik |
| 26/06/24 Iceland 1 Deild | Leiknir Reykjavik | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Throttur Reykjavik |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Afturelding | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 21 | 31 |
| 2 | Fylkir Reykjavik | 14 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 20 | 30 |
| 3 | HK Kopavogur | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 28 |
| 4 | Throttur Reykjavik | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 14 | 27 |
| 5 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 22 |
| 6 | IF Vestri | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 31 | 21 |
| 7 | Njardvik | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 20 |
| 8 | Leiknir Reykjavik | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
| 9 | Grindavik | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 18 | 14 |
| 10 | IR Reykjavik | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 36 | 13 |
| 11 | Volsungur | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | 8 |
| 12 | KF Aegir | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 42 | 8 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leiknir Reykjavik | Throttur Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| Afturelding | 2-3 L | 3-4 L |
| Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Volsungur | 3-3 D | 1-0 W |
| IR Reykjavik | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Njardvik | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| IF Vestri | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| KF Aegir | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| HK Kopavogur | 4-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Fylkir Reykjavik | 0-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Grindavik | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 4 L | 5 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Leiknir Reykjavik (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leiknir Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/07 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 26/06 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 2-1 | 16 | 9 | W |
| 19/06 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 05/06 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 27/05 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Throttur Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 10/07 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 03/07 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 21/06 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 12/06 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/06 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
2-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
2-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leiknir Reykjavik vs Throttur Reykjavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Throttur Reykjavik win (55%). Probabilities: Leiknir Reykjavik 21%, draw 24%, Throttur Reykjavik 55%.
How many goals are expected in Leiknir Reykjavik vs Throttur Reykjavik?
The model expects 3.03 goals (Leiknir Reykjavik 1.12 · Throttur Reykjavik 1.91), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Leiknir Reykjavik vs Throttur Reykjavik?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.