Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 18/07, 16:00

Prediction: Grindavik vs IR Reykjavik

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.49Total
Grindavik1.83
IR Reykjavik1.67
1X2
41% 25% 34%
Grindavik Draw IR Reykjavik
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Grindavik 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
WDLLLDDDLW
IR Reykjavik 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
WLLLWDLLDL
Head-to-head
Grindavik 1–2–3 IR Reykjavik (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grindavik 1480 · IR Reykjavik 1447
GrindavikDrawIR Reykjavik
Our model41%24%35%
Market41%25%34%
Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours IR Reykjavik: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GrindavikIR Reykjavik
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.51.4 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 10.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/70/30%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 5.43 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 04 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Grindavik 123 IR Reykjavik

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/05/26
Iceland 1 Deild
IR Reykjavik2-2
HT 2-0
Grindavik
26/02/26
Iceland League Cup
IR Reykjavik3-2
HT 1-1
Grindavik
06/09/25
Iceland 1 Deild
Grindavik3-1
HT 2-1
IR Reykjavik
27/06/25
Iceland 1 Deild
IR Reykjavik6-1
HT 1-0
Grindavik
12/07/24
Iceland 1 Deild
IR Reykjavik3-0
HT 0-0
Grindavik
10/05/24
Iceland 1 Deild
Grindavik1-1
HT 1-0
IR Reykjavik

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Afturelding 141013 432131
2 Fylkir Reykjavik 13904 281927
3 HK Kopavogur 14815 302425
4 Throttur Reykjavik 13733 261424
5 IF Vestri 14635 242521
6 Njardvik 13625 191520
7 Leiknir Reykjavik 14545 191919
8 Grotta Seltjarnarnes 13616 232719
9 Grindavik 13274 151813
10 IR Reykjavik 14338 253612
11 Volsungur 13157 17338
12 KF Aegir 142210 18368

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGrindavikIR Reykjavik
Grotta Seltjarnarnes 2-1 W 2-1 W
Njardvik 4-5 L 1-5 L
IF Vestri 0-0 D 0-1 L
KF Aegir 0-0 D 1-4 L
HK Kopavogur 2-2 D 1-5 L
Throttur Reykjavik 0-2 L 1-1 D
Afturelding 1-3 L 0-1 L
Leiknir Reykjavik 0-0 D 1-2 L
Volsungur 3-1 W 4-4 D
Record vs common 2 W 4 D 3 L 1 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Grindavik (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grindavik

WDLLLDDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/07 Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Iceland 1 Deild
1-1 2-1 82 W
10/07 Njardvik
Iceland 1 Deild
3-3 4-5 14 L
04/07 IF Vestri
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-0 43 D
26/06 KF Aegir
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-0 71 D
21/06 HK Kopavogur
Iceland 1 Deild
1-2 2-2 56 D
17/06 Fylkir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-1 52 L
01/06 Throttur Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 0-2 53 L
27/05 Afturelding
Iceland 1 Deild
0-2 1-3 76 L
22/05 Leiknir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-0 D
17/05 Volsungur
Iceland 1 Deild
1-1 3-1 73 W

IR Reykjavik

WLLLWDLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/07 HK Kopavogur
Iceland 1 Deild
0-4 1-5 62 L
10/07 Throttur Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 1-1 210 D
03/07 Afturelding
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 0-1 72 L
26/06 Leiknir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-0 1-2 79 L
21/06 Volsungur
Iceland 1 Deild
3-1 4-4 84 D
17/06 Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 2-1 133 W
05/06 Njardvik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-2 1-5 82 L
31/05 IF Vestri
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-1 71 L
27/05 KF Aegir
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 1-4 74 L
22/05 HK Kopavogur
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 3-1 95 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grindavik vs IR Reykjavik?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Grindavik win (41%). Probabilities: Grindavik 41%, draw 25%, IR Reykjavik 34%.

How many goals are expected in Grindavik vs IR Reykjavik?

The model expects 3.49 goals (Grindavik 1.83 · IR Reykjavik 1.67), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Grindavik vs IR Reykjavik?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.