Football · Netherlands Eredivisie Women · 25/10, 16:45
Prediction: FC Utrecht (W) vs ADO Den Haag (W)
Team pages: FC Utrecht (W) · ADO Den Haag (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.6Total
FC Utrecht (W)1.84
ADO Den Haag (W)1.76
1X2
FC Utrecht (W)
Draw
ADO Den Haag (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Utrecht (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
ADO Den Haag (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Utrecht (W)
5–1
ADO Den Haag (W)
(6 last)
- ADO Den Haag (W)0-5FC Utrecht (W)
- FC Utrecht (W)1-3ADO Den Haag (W)
- ADO Den Haag (W)0-5FC Utrecht (W)
- ADO Den Haag (W)0-2FC Utrecht (W)
- FC Utrecht (W)4-3ADO Den Haag (W)
- ADO Den Haag (W)1-3FC Utrecht (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Utrecht (W) 1423 · ADO Den Haag (W) 1473
| FC Utrecht (W) | Draw | ADO Den Haag (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 24% | 37% |
| Market | 39% | 25% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ADO Den Haag (W) (rating 1423 vs 1473).
- H2H favours FC Utrecht (W): 5-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Utrecht (W) | ADO Den Haag (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.9 | 1.9 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 1 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.3 | 1.7 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0 | 2.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Utrecht (W) 5–0–1 ADO Den Haag (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | ADO Den Haag (W) | 0-5 HT 0-3 | FC Utrecht (W) |
| 07/02/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | FC Utrecht (W) | 1-3 HT 0-2 | ADO Den Haag (W) |
| 04/04/25 Women’s Friendly | ADO Den Haag (W) | 0-5 HT 0-1 | FC Utrecht (W) |
| 19/01/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | ADO Den Haag (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | FC Utrecht (W) |
| 20/10/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | FC Utrecht (W) | 4-3 HT 3-0 | ADO Den Haag (W) |
| 22/02/24 Women’s Friendly | ADO Den Haag (W) | 1-3 HT 1-2 | FC Utrecht (W) |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente (W) | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
| 2 | Ajax (W) | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | PSV (W) | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | De Graafschap (W) | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| 5 | VV Alkmaar (W) | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 12 |
| 6 | Heerenveen (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 8 |
| 7 | PEC Zwolle (W) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 7 |
| 8 | ADO Den Haag (W) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 7 |
| 9 | Feyenoord (W) | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 6 |
| 10 | FC Utrecht (W) | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Utrecht (W) | ADO Den Haag (W) |
|---|---|---|
| FC Twente (W) | 0-2 L | 1-7 L |
| Heerenveen (W) | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| PEC Zwolle (W) | 3-4 L | 4-2 W |
| VV Alkmaar (W) | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| PSV (W) | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Ajax (W) | 0-1 L | 1-7 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Utrecht (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Utrecht (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 27/09 | Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 13/09 | PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | HERA United (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
ADO Den Haag (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 26/09 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-3 | 1-7 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/09 | Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 13/09 | De Graafschap (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-2 | 4-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-3 | 1-7 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 22/05 | PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | NAC (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Utrecht (W) vs ADO Den Haag (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Utrecht (W) win (39%). Probabilities: FC Utrecht (W) 39%, draw 24%, ADO Den Haag (W) 36%.
How many goals are expected in FC Utrecht (W) vs ADO Den Haag (W)?
The model expects 3.6 goals (FC Utrecht (W) 1.84 · ADO Den Haag (W) 1.76), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Utrecht (W) vs ADO Den Haag (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.