Football · Netherlands Eredivisie Women · 25/10, 16:45
Prediction: PEC Zwolle (W) vs FC Twente (W)
Team pages: PEC Zwolle (W) · FC Twente (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.17Total
PEC Zwolle (W)1.08
FC Twente (W)3.08
1X2
PEC Zwolle (W)
Draw
FC Twente (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-3 8%
Recent form · 10 last
PEC Zwolle (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
FC Twente (W)
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PEC Zwolle (W)
0–6
FC Twente (W)
(6 last)
- FC Twente (W)3-2PEC Zwolle (W)
- PEC Zwolle (W)1-4FC Twente (W)
- PEC Zwolle (W)2-4FC Twente (W)
- PEC Zwolle (W)0-3FC Twente (W)
- FC Twente (W)2-1PEC Zwolle (W)
- PEC Zwolle (W)0-4FC Twente (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · PEC Zwolle (W) 1452 · FC Twente (W) 1618
| PEC Zwolle (W) | Draw | FC Twente (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 14% | 76% |
| Market | 7% | 16% | 77% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.17 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Twente (W) (rating 1452 vs 1618).
- H2H favours FC Twente (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PEC Zwolle (W) | FC Twente (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.5 | 3.6 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 70/10/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.3 | 2.7 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PEC Zwolle (W) 0–0–6 FC Twente (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | FC Twente (W) | 3-2 HT 0-1 | PEC Zwolle (W) |
| 28/09/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | PEC Zwolle (W) | 1-4 HT 0-1 | FC Twente (W) |
| 28/06/25 Women’s Friendly | PEC Zwolle (W) | 2-4 HT 2-3 | FC Twente (W) |
| 03/05/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | PEC Zwolle (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | FC Twente (W) |
| 14/12/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | FC Twente (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | PEC Zwolle (W) |
| 10/02/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | PEC Zwolle (W) | 0-4 HT 0-1 | FC Twente (W) |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente (W) | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
| 2 | Ajax (W) | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | PSV (W) | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | De Graafschap (W) | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| 5 | VV Alkmaar (W) | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 12 |
| 6 | Heerenveen (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 8 |
| 7 | PEC Zwolle (W) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 7 |
| 8 | ADO Den Haag (W) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 7 |
| 9 | Feyenoord (W) | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 6 |
| 10 | FC Utrecht (W) | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PEC Zwolle (W) | FC Twente (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen (W) | 2-2 D | 5-1 W |
| Feyenoord (W) | 3-2 W | 4-0 W |
| De Graafschap (W) | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| FC Utrecht (W) | 4-3 W | 2-0 W |
| ADO Den Haag (W) | 2-4 L | 7-1 W |
| PSV (W) | 0-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 6 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Twente (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PEC Zwolle (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 26/09 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | De Graafschap (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 13/09 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 4-3 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | HERA United (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
FC Twente (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 27/09 | VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 7-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 16/08 | De Graafschap (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | NAC (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 19 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PEC Zwolle (W) vs FC Twente (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Twente (W) win (77%). Probabilities: PEC Zwolle (W) 8%, draw 15%, FC Twente (W) 77%.
How many goals are expected in PEC Zwolle (W) vs FC Twente (W)?
The model expects 4.17 goals (PEC Zwolle (W) 1.08 · FC Twente (W) 3.08), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in PEC Zwolle (W) vs FC Twente (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.