Football · Netherlands Eredivisie Women · 01/11, 16:45

Prediction: ADO Den Haag (W) vs Feyenoord (W)

Team pages: ADO Den Haag (W) · Feyenoord (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.67Total

ADO Den Haag (W)1.41

Feyenoord (W)2.25

1X2

22% 22% 55%

ADO Den Haag (W) Draw Feyenoord (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

ADO Den Haag (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWDLLL

Feyenoord (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLWLLL

Head-to-head

ADO Den Haag (W) 1–2–3 Feyenoord (W) (6 last)

ADO Den Haag (W)1-1Feyenoord (W)
Feyenoord (W)2-0ADO Den Haag (W)
Feyenoord (W)3-0ADO Den Haag (W)
ADO Den Haag (W)1-3Feyenoord (W)
ADO Den Haag (W)2-1Feyenoord (W)
ADO Den Haag (W)1-1Feyenoord (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ADO Den Haag (W) 1460 · Feyenoord (W) 1469

	ADO Den Haag (W)	Draw	Feyenoord (W)
Our model	23%	22%	56%
Market	22%	22%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Feyenoord (W): 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ADO Den Haag (W)	Feyenoord (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.8	1.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.6	0.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.7	2.5 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.00

X4.00

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.00

2 (-0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.76 ★
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
04:40 +29’	4.00	4.00	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:57 +13’	4.76	4.00	1.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ADO Den Haag (W) 1–2–3 Feyenoord (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Women	ADO Den Haag (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Feyenoord (W)
28/09/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women	Feyenoord (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	ADO Den Haag (W)
02/02/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women	Feyenoord (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	ADO Den Haag (W)
06/10/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women	ADO Den Haag (W)	1-3 HT 0-1	Feyenoord (W)
21/04/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women	ADO Den Haag (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Feyenoord (W)
16/02/24 Netherlands Cup Women	ADO Den Haag (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Feyenoord (W)

Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Twente (W)	8	7	1	0	30	4	22
2	Ajax (W)	8	6	0	2	21	10	18
3	PSV (W)	8	5	1	2	21	9	16
4	De Graafschap (W)	8	4	0	4	11	12	12
5	VV Alkmaar (W)	8	4	0	4	9	17	12
6	Heerenveen (W)	8	3	2	3	12	13	11
7	PEC Zwolle (W)	8	2	2	4	14	18	8
8	ADO Den Haag (W)	8	2	1	5	12	26	7
9	Feyenoord (W)	8	2	0	6	9	21	6
10	FC Utrecht (W)	8	1	1	6	5	14	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ADO Den Haag (W)	Feyenoord (W)
FC Utrecht (W)	0-1 L	3-0 W
PSV (W)	0-3 L	0-6 L
Ajax (W)	1-7 L	1-4 L
Heerenveen (W)	2-2 D	2-1 W
De Graafschap (W)	3-2 W	0-1 L
PEC Zwolle (W)	4-2 W	2-3 L
FC Twente (W)	1-7 L	0-4 L
VV Alkmaar (W)	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	2 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Feyenoord (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ADO Den Haag (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
04/10	PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-2	0-3	4	1	L
26/09	Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	1-3	1-7	4	1	L
20/09	Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	1-2	2-2	6	0	D
13/09	De Graafschap (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	2-2	3-2	4	6	W
06/09	PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	2-2	4-2	3	2	W
23/08	FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-3	1-7	4	6	L
16/08	VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-1	1-2	2	0	L
22/05	PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	3-0	3-0	4	2	W
08/05	PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-1	0-2	0	6	L

Feyenoord (W)

WWWLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	De Graafschap (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
04/10	Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-2	1-4	3	3	L
26/09	PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	2-2	2-3	5	6	L
19/09	FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-0	3-0	5	0	W
13/09	FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-2	0-4	3	5	L
06/09	PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-2	0-6	0	0	L
22/08	VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-2	1-2	7	3	L
16/08	Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	0-1	2-1	16	2	W
22/05	NAC (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	2-0	3-0	15	1	W
08/05	Excelsior (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women	1-0	3-0	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ADO Den Haag (W) vs Feyenoord (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Feyenoord (W) win (55%). Probabilities: ADO Den Haag (W) 22%, draw 22%, Feyenoord (W) 55%.

How many goals are expected in ADO Den Haag (W) vs Feyenoord (W)?

The model expects 3.67 goals (ADO Den Haag (W) 1.41 · Feyenoord (W) 2.25), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in ADO Den Haag (W) vs Feyenoord (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.