Football · Netherlands Eredivisie Women · 01/11, 16:45
Prediction: VV Alkmaar (W) vs PEC Zwolle (W)
Team pages: VV Alkmaar (W) · PEC Zwolle (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
VV Alkmaar (W)1.34
PEC Zwolle (W)1.62
1X2
VV Alkmaar (W)
Draw
PEC Zwolle (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
VV Alkmaar (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
PEC Zwolle (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
VV Alkmaar (W)
2–1–3
PEC Zwolle (W)
(6 last)
- PEC Zwolle (W)2-0VV Alkmaar (W)
- VV Alkmaar (W)0-1PEC Zwolle (W)
- VV Alkmaar (W)2-0PEC Zwolle (W)
- PEC Zwolle (W)1-2VV Alkmaar (W)
- VV Alkmaar (W)1-1PEC Zwolle (W)
- PEC Zwolle (W)1-0VV Alkmaar (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · VV Alkmaar (W) 1475 · PEC Zwolle (W) 1478
| VV Alkmaar (W) | Draw | PEC Zwolle (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 26% | 43% |
| Market | 31% | 25% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours PEC Zwolle (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| VV Alkmaar (W) | PEC Zwolle (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2 | 1.7 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.3 | 1.7 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · VV Alkmaar (W) 2–1–3 PEC Zwolle (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | PEC Zwolle (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | VV Alkmaar (W) |
| 21/12/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | VV Alkmaar (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | PEC Zwolle (W) |
| 08/03/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | VV Alkmaar (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | PEC Zwolle (W) |
| 08/12/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | PEC Zwolle (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | VV Alkmaar (W) |
| 21/01/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | VV Alkmaar (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | PEC Zwolle (W) |
| 20/10/23 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | PEC Zwolle (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | VV Alkmaar (W) |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente (W) | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 4 | 22 |
| 2 | Ajax (W) | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | PSV (W) | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | De Graafschap (W) | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| 5 | VV Alkmaar (W) | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 12 |
| 6 | Heerenveen (W) | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
| 7 | PEC Zwolle (W) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 8 |
| 8 | ADO Den Haag (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 7 |
| 9 | Feyenoord (W) | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 6 |
| 10 | FC Utrecht (W) | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | VV Alkmaar (W) | PEC Zwolle (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen (W) | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| De Graafschap (W) | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| FC Twente (W) | 0-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Ajax (W) | 1-5 L | 0-1 L |
| PSV (W) | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| FC Utrecht (W) | 1-0 W | 4-3 W |
| Feyenoord (W) | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| ADO Den Haag (W) | 2-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: PEC Zwolle (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
VV Alkmaar (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | De Graafschap (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 13 | 0 | L |
| 27/09 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-3 | 1-5 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 22/05 | Excelsior (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
PEC Zwolle (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 04/10 | Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 26/09 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | De Graafschap (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 13/09 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 4-3 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | HERA United (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in VV Alkmaar (W) vs PEC Zwolle (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an PEC Zwolle (W) win (43%). Probabilities: VV Alkmaar (W) 31%, draw 26%, PEC Zwolle (W) 43%.
How many goals are expected in VV Alkmaar (W) vs PEC Zwolle (W)?
The model expects 2.96 goals (VV Alkmaar (W) 1.34 · PEC Zwolle (W) 1.62), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in VV Alkmaar (W) vs PEC Zwolle (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.