Football · Netherlands Eredivisie Women · 01/11, 16:45
Prediction: PSV (W) vs Heerenveen (W)
Team pages: PSV (W) · Heerenveen (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.8Total
PSV (W)2.9
Heerenveen (W)0.9
1X2
PSV (W)
Draw
Heerenveen (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 9%
Recent form · 10 last
PSV (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Heerenveen (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PSV (W)
5–1
Heerenveen (W)
(6 last)
- Heerenveen (W)0-1PSV (W)
- PSV (W)6-0Heerenveen (W)
- PSV (W)5-1Heerenveen (W)
- Heerenveen (W)0-1PSV (W)
- PSV (W)5-0Heerenveen (W)
- Heerenveen (W)2-1PSV (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · PSV (W) 1591 · Heerenveen (W) 1475
| PSV (W) | Draw | Heerenveen (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 85% | 10% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.8 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PSV (W) (rating 1591 vs 1475).
- H2H favours PSV (W): 5-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PSV (W) | Heerenveen (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1 | 1.4 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 70/0/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 7.1 | 1.5 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 1.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PSV (W) 5–0–1 Heerenveen (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | Heerenveen (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | PSV (W) |
| 23/11/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | PSV (W) | 6-0 HT 2-0 | Heerenveen (W) |
| 20/04/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | PSV (W) | 5-1 HT 0-0 | Heerenveen (W) |
| 13/10/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | Heerenveen (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | PSV (W) |
| 20/04/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | PSV (W) | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Heerenveen (W) |
| 18/02/24 Netherlands Cup Women | Heerenveen (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | PSV (W) |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente (W) | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 4 | 22 |
| 2 | Ajax (W) | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | PSV (W) | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | De Graafschap (W) | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| 5 | VV Alkmaar (W) | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 12 |
| 6 | Heerenveen (W) | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
| 7 | PEC Zwolle (W) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 8 |
| 8 | ADO Den Haag (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 7 |
| 9 | Feyenoord (W) | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 6 |
| 10 | FC Utrecht (W) | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PSV (W) | Heerenveen (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Ajax (W) | 4-1 W | 3-1 W |
| ADO Den Haag (W) | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| De Graafschap (W) | 4-0 W | 0-1 L |
| FC Twente (W) | 0-4 L | 1-5 L |
| VV Alkmaar (W) | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Feyenoord (W) | 6-0 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Utrecht (W) | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| PEC Zwolle (W) | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: PSV (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PSV (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | De Graafschap (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 19/09 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 6-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 22/08 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 08/05 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
Heerenveen (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 27/09 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 13/09 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | De Graafschap (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 16/08 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PSV (W) vs Heerenveen (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a PSV (W) win (82%). Probabilities: PSV (W) 82%, draw 12%, Heerenveen (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in PSV (W) vs Heerenveen (W)?
The model expects 3.8 goals (PSV (W) 2.9 · Heerenveen (W) 0.9), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in PSV (W) vs Heerenveen (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.