Prediction: Birkirkara vs Floriana
Team pages: Birkirkara · Floriana
- Birkirkara2-2Floriana
- Floriana2-0Birkirkara
- Floriana2-0Birkirkara
- Birkirkara2-1Floriana
- Birkirkara1-1Floriana
- Floriana0-2Birkirkara
| Birkirkara | Draw | Floriana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 28% | 46% |
| Market | 26% | 26% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Floriana (rating 1468 vs 1551).
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Birkirkara | Floriana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.9 | 2.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.3 | 3 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Birkirkara 2–2–2 Floriana
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Malta Premier League | Birkirkara | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Floriana |
| 13/12/25 Malta Premier League | Floriana | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Birkirkara |
| 25/10/25 Malta Premier League | Floriana | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Birkirkara |
| 14/05/25 Malta FA Trophy | Birkirkara | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Floriana |
| 30/04/25 Malta Premier League | Birkirkara | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Floriana |
| 12/03/25 Malta Premier League | Floriana | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Birkirkara |
Standings · Malta Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valletta | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Marsaxlokk FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 17 |
| 3 | Floriana | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 15 |
| 4 | Mosta FC | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 5 | Hamrun Spartans | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | Sliema Wanderers | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| 7 | Balzan FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 10 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 9 |
| 10 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 8 |
| 11 | Gzira United | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 4 |
| 12 | Birzebbuga | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Birkirkara | Floriana |
|---|---|---|
| Marsaxlokk FC | 0-2 L | 2-5 L |
| Valletta | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Hibernians | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Sliema Wanderers | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Mosta FC | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| Hamrun Spartans | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Gzira United | 4-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Floriana (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Birkirkara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Marsaxlokk FC Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Valletta Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 18/09 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Hibernians Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Sliema Wanderers Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Mosta FC Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Hamrun Spartans Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/08 | Gzira United Malta Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 30/04 | Mosta FC Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 24/04 | Tarxien Rainbows FC Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Floriana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Mosta FC Malta Premier League |
3-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Balzan FC Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | Hibernians Malta Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Marsaxlokk FC Malta Premier League |
1-3 | 2-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/09 | Gzira United Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Hamrun Spartans Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | Sliema Wanderers Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | Birzebbuga Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Marsaxlokk FC Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Valletta Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Birkirkara vs Floriana?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Floriana win (47%). Probabilities: Birkirkara 26%, draw 27%, Floriana 47%.
How many goals are expected in Birkirkara vs Floriana?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Birkirkara 1.07 · Floriana 1.52), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Birkirkara vs Floriana?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.