Prediction: Birkirkara vs Birzebbuga
Team pages: Birkirkara · Birzebbuga
See it on the live radar ↗| Birkirkara | Draw | Birzebbuga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 26% | 15% |
| Market | 61% | 23% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Birkirkara (rating 1506 vs 1430).
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Birkirkara | Birzebbuga | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.2 | 1.9 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.3 | 4.9 / 0.1 |
Standings · Malta Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valletta | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 22 |
| 2 | Sliema Wanderers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 17 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 17 |
| 4 | Floriana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 16 |
| 5 | Hamrun Spartans | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Mosta FC | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| 7 | Birkirkara | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 14 |
| 8 | Hibernians | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 13 |
| 9 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 11 |
| 10 | Balzan FC | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Gzira United | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 5 |
| 12 | Birzebbuga | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 5 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Birkirkara | Birzebbuga |
|---|---|---|
| Balzan FC | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Floriana | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Marsaxlokk FC | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Valletta | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Hibernians | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Sliema Wanderers | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Mosta FC | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Hamrun Spartans | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Gzira United | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Birkirkara (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Birkirkara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Balzan FC Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 11 | W |
| 22/10 | Floriana Malta Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 16/10 | Marsaxlokk FC Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Valletta Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 18/09 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Hibernians Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Sliema Wanderers Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Mosta FC Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Hamrun Spartans Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/08 | Gzira United Malta Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
Birzebbuga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Gzira United Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 21/10 | Marsaxlokk FC Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18/10 | Hibernians Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 09/10 | Mosta FC Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Valletta Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 11/09 | Hamrun Spartans Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Balzan FC Malta Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 30/08 | Sliema Wanderers Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | Floriana Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Birkirkara vs Birzebbuga?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Birkirkara win (60%). Probabilities: Birkirkara 60%, draw 24%, Birzebbuga 16%.
How many goals are expected in Birkirkara vs Birzebbuga?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Birkirkara 1.7 · Birzebbuga 0.74), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Birkirkara vs Birzebbuga?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.