Football · Malta Premier League · 31/10, 19:00
Prediction: Balzan FC vs Hibernians
Team pages: Balzan FC · Hibernians
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Balzan FC1.27
Hibernians1.27
1X2
Balzan FC
Draw
Hibernians
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Balzan FC
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Hibernians
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Balzan FC
1–3–2
Hibernians
(6 last)
- Hibernians1-1Balzan FC
- Hibernians0-0Balzan FC
- Balzan FC0-1Hibernians
- Balzan FC0-0Hibernians
- Hibernians0-2Balzan FC
- Hibernians5-0Balzan FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Balzan FC 1479 · Hibernians 1494
| Balzan FC | Draw | Hibernians | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 29% | 35% |
| Market | 36% | 28% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Hibernians: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Balzan FC | Hibernians | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 4.9 | 2.8 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.6 / 0.6 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Balzan FC 1–3–2 Hibernians
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/25 Malta Premier League | Hibernians | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Balzan FC |
| 13/03/25 Malta Premier League | Hibernians | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Balzan FC |
| 01/11/24 Malta Premier League | Balzan FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Hibernians |
| 24/02/24 Malta Premier League | Balzan FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hibernians |
| 22/10/23 Malta Premier League | Hibernians | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Balzan FC |
| 18/08/23 Europe Friendlies | Hibernians | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Balzan FC |
Standings · Malta Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valletta | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 22 |
| 2 | Sliema Wanderers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 17 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 17 |
| 4 | Floriana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 16 |
| 5 | Hamrun Spartans | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Mosta FC | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| 7 | Birkirkara | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 14 |
| 8 | Hibernians | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 13 |
| 9 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 11 |
| 10 | Balzan FC | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Gzira United | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 5 |
| 12 | Birzebbuga | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 5 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Balzan FC | Hibernians |
|---|---|---|
| Birkirkara | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Hamrun Spartans | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Floriana | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Sliema Wanderers | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Valletta | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Birzebbuga | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Gzira United | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Mosta FC | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Marsaxlokk FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 5 D 3 L | 3 W 4 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Balzan FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Birkirkara Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 11 | L |
| 21/10 | Hamrun Spartans Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 17/10 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar Malta Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 11/10 | Floriana Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | Sliema Wanderers Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | Valletta Malta Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 05/09 | Birzebbuga Malta Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 29/08 | Gzira United Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Mosta FC Malta Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | Marsaxlokk FC Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Hibernians
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Mosta FC Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 22/10 | Gzira United Malta Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 18/10 | Birzebbuga Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 11/10 | Hamrun Spartans Malta Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | Floriana Malta Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 12/09 | Birkirkara Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 02/09 | Valletta Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 28/08 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 21/08 | Marsaxlokk FC Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Sliema Wanderers Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Balzan FC vs Hibernians?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Balzan FC win (36%). Probabilities: Balzan FC 36%, draw 28%, Hibernians 36%.
How many goals are expected in Balzan FC vs Hibernians?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Balzan FC 1.27 · Hibernians 1.27), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Balzan FC vs Hibernians?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.