Football · Malta Premier League · 31/10, 19:00
Prediction: Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans
Team pages: Sliema Wanderers · Hamrun Spartans
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Sliema Wanderers1.09
Hamrun Spartans1.36
1X2
Sliema Wanderers
Draw
Hamrun Spartans
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Sliema Wanderers
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Hamrun Spartans
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sliema Wanderers
2–1–3
Hamrun Spartans
(6 last)
- Hamrun Spartans2-0Sliema Wanderers
- Hamrun Spartans1-0Sliema Wanderers
- Sliema Wanderers2-0Hamrun Spartans
- Sliema Wanderers1-1Hamrun Spartans
- Hamrun Spartans0-1Sliema Wanderers
- Hamrun Spartans2-0Sliema Wanderers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sliema Wanderers 1518 · Hamrun Spartans 1549
| Sliema Wanderers | Draw | Hamrun Spartans | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 30% | 42% |
| Market | 30% | 28% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Hamrun Spartans: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sliema Wanderers | Hamrun Spartans | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.5 | 2.6 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.3 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sliema Wanderers 2–1–3 Hamrun Spartans
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Malta Premier League | Hamrun Spartans | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sliema Wanderers |
| 10/01/26 Malta Premier League | Hamrun Spartans | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sliema Wanderers |
| 05/10/25 Malta Premier League | Sliema Wanderers | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Hamrun Spartans |
| 27/04/25 Malta Premier League | Sliema Wanderers | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Hamrun Spartans |
| 13/03/25 Malta Premier League | Hamrun Spartans | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sliema Wanderers |
| 05/03/25 Malta FA Trophy | Hamrun Spartans | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Sliema Wanderers |
Standings · Malta Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valletta | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 22 |
| 2 | Sliema Wanderers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 17 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 17 |
| 4 | Floriana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 16 |
| 5 | Hamrun Spartans | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Mosta FC | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| 7 | Birkirkara | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 14 |
| 8 | Hibernians | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 13 |
| 9 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 11 |
| 10 | Balzan FC | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Gzira United | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 5 |
| 12 | Birzebbuga | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 5 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sliema Wanderers | Hamrun Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| Marsaxlokk FC | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Valletta | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Gzira United | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Balzan FC | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Mosta FC | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Birkirkara | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Birzebbuga | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Floriana | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Hibernians | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Hamrun Spartans (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sliema Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Marsaxlokk FC Malta Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 21/10 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 17/10 | Valletta Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 11/10 | Gzira United Malta Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 20/09 | Balzan FC Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | Mosta FC Malta Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Birkirkara Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Birzebbuga Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 21/08 | Floriana Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Hibernians Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Hamrun Spartans
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Valletta Malta Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/10 | Balzan FC Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 18/10 | Gzira United Malta Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Hibernians Malta Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 18/09 | Marsaxlokk FC Malta Premier League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 11/09 | Birzebbuga Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar Malta Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Floriana Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Birkirkara Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/08 | Mosta FC Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hamrun Spartans win (42%). Probabilities: Sliema Wanderers 29%, draw 28%, Hamrun Spartans 42%.
How many goals are expected in Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Sliema Wanderers 1.09 · Hamrun Spartans 1.36), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.