Football · Malta Premier League · 31/10, 16:30
Prediction: Saint Patrick FC Zabbar vs Mosta FC
Team pages: Saint Patrick FC Zabbar · Mosta FC
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Saint Patrick FC Zabbar1.52
Mosta FC1.64
1X2
Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
Draw
Mosta FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Mosta FC
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
1–2–3
Mosta FC
(6 last)
- Mosta FC2-1Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
- Saint Patrick FC Zabbar5-3Mosta FC
- Mosta FC1-1Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
- Mosta FC1-1Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
- Saint Patrick FC Zabbar1-2Mosta FC
- Mosta FC4-2Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Saint Patrick FC Zabbar 1482 · Mosta FC 1499
| Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | Draw | Mosta FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 26% | 40% |
| Market | 35% | 26% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Mosta FC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | Mosta FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.6 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.9 | 2.9 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Saint Patrick FC Zabbar 1–2–3 Mosta FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/26 Malta Premier League | Mosta FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar |
| 07/03/26 Malta Premier League | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | 5-3 HT 2-2 | Mosta FC |
| 12/12/25 Malta Premier League | Mosta FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar |
| 24/10/25 Malta Premier League | Mosta FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar |
| 29/03/25 Malta Premier League | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Mosta FC |
| 27/10/24 Malta Premier League | Mosta FC | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar |
Standings · Malta Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valletta | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 22 |
| 2 | Sliema Wanderers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 17 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 17 |
| 4 | Floriana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 16 |
| 5 | Hamrun Spartans | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Mosta FC | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| 7 | Birkirkara | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 14 |
| 8 | Hibernians | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 13 |
| 9 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 11 |
| 10 | Balzan FC | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Gzira United | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 5 |
| 12 | Birzebbuga | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 5 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | Mosta FC |
|---|---|---|
| Floriana | 2-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Sliema Wanderers | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Balzan FC | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Marsaxlokk FC | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Birkirkara | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Gzira United | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Hamrun Spartans | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Hibernians | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Birzebbuga | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Valletta | 2-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 5 L | 3 W 5 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Floriana Malta Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/10 | Sliema Wanderers Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 17/10 | Balzan FC Malta Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 10/10 | Marsaxlokk FC Malta Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 18/09 | Birkirkara Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/09 | Gzira United Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Hamrun Spartans Malta Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Hibernians Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Birzebbuga Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | Valletta Malta Premier League |
2-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
Mosta FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Hibernians Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 21/10 | Valletta Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | Floriana Malta Premier League |
1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 14/10 | Gzira United Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 09/10 | Birzebbuga Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Sliema Wanderers Malta Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Marsaxlokk FC Malta Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Birkirkara Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Balzan FC Malta Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/08 | Hamrun Spartans Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Saint Patrick FC Zabbar vs Mosta FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Mosta FC win (40%). Probabilities: Saint Patrick FC Zabbar 34%, draw 26%, Mosta FC 40%.
How many goals are expected in Saint Patrick FC Zabbar vs Mosta FC?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Saint Patrick FC Zabbar 1.52 · Mosta FC 1.64), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Saint Patrick FC Zabbar vs Mosta FC?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.