Football · Australia Cup · 21/07, 12:30
Prediction: Bayswater City vs Sydney FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Bayswater City0.83
Sydney FC2.08
1X2
Bayswater City
Draw
Sydney FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Bayswater City
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Sydney FC
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bayswater City 1589 · Sydney FC 1495
| Bayswater City | Draw | Sydney FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 22% | 65% |
| Market | 15% | 18% | 67% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bayswater City (rating 1589 vs 1495).
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bayswater City | Sydney FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.1 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.3 | 2.1 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.4 | 4.4 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bayswater City
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 26/06 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/06 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 05/06 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-3 | 4-3 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
Sydney FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | Auckland FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Newcastle Jets Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 09/05 | Newcastle Jets Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Melbourne Victory Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Auckland FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Western Sydney Wanderers Australia A-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/04 | Brisbane Roar Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | Newcastle Jets Australia A-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 17/03 | Melbourne City Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bayswater City vs Sydney FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sydney FC win (66%). Probabilities: Bayswater City 14%, draw 20%, Sydney FC 66%.
How many goals are expected in Bayswater City vs Sydney FC?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Bayswater City 0.83 · Sydney FC 2.08), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Bayswater City vs Sydney FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.