Football · Australia Cup · 30/07, 11:30
Prediction: Sydney Olympic vs Brisbane Roar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
Sydney Olympic1.06
Brisbane Roar2.05
1X2
Sydney Olympic
Draw
Brisbane Roar
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sydney Olympic
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Brisbane Roar
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sydney Olympic 1491 · Brisbane Roar 1497
| Sydney Olympic | Draw | Brisbane Roar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 23% | 59% |
| Market | 19% | 21% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sydney Olympic | Brisbane Roar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.1 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 33/44/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.4 | 2.2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sydney Olympic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 11/07 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 20/06 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/06 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 27/05 | Fraser Park Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
Brisbane Roar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Ipswich FC Australia Friendlies |
– | 5-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 15/07 | Caboolture FC Australia Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Melbourne City Australia A-League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/04 | Central Coast Mariners Australia A-League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 02/04 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 21/03 | Wellington Phoenix Australia A-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/03 | Western Sydney Wanderers Australia A-League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 28/02 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 21/02 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sydney Olympic vs Brisbane Roar?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Brisbane Roar win (60%). Probabilities: Sydney Olympic 19%, draw 22%, Brisbane Roar 60%.
How many goals are expected in Sydney Olympic vs Brisbane Roar?
The model expects 3.11 goals (Sydney Olympic 1.06 · Brisbane Roar 2.05), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sydney Olympic vs Brisbane Roar?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.