Football · Australia Cup · 22/07, 11:30
Prediction: Maitland FC vs Fremantle City FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Maitland FC1.58
Fremantle City FC1.25
1X2
Maitland FC
Draw
Fremantle City FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Maitland FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Fremantle City FC
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maitland FC 1515 · Fremantle City FC 1542
| Maitland FC | Draw | Fremantle City FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 27% | 29% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maitland FC | Fremantle City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 2.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/11/22% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.9 | 2.3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 1.8 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maitland FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Valentine Phoenix Australia Cup Qualifying |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
Fremantle City FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 0 | D |
| 27/06 | Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/06 | Olympic Kingsway Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League |
3-1 | 5-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-2 | 4-3 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maitland FC vs Fremantle City FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maitland FC win (45%). Probabilities: Maitland FC 45%, draw 26%, Fremantle City FC 30%.
How many goals are expected in Maitland FC vs Fremantle City FC?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Maitland FC 1.58 · Fremantle City FC 1.25), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Maitland FC vs Fremantle City FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.