Football · Australia Cup · 26/07, 06:00
Prediction: Weston Workers FC vs Melbourne City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.49Total
Weston Workers FC0.74
Melbourne City2.74
1X2
Weston Workers FC
Draw
Melbourne City
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Weston Workers FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Melbourne City
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Weston Workers FC 1518 · Melbourne City 1546
| Weston Workers FC | Draw | Melbourne City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 7% | 15% | 78% |
| Market | 4% | 8% | 88% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.49 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Weston Workers FC | Melbourne City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.7 | 2.5 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Weston Workers FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
3-0 | 5-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 15/07 | Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 13/06 | Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 15 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
Melbourne City
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05 | Auckland FC Australia A-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Adelaide United Australia A-League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 18/04 | Brisbane Roar Australia A-League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Wellington Phoenix Australia A-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/04 | Central Coast Mariners Australia A-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Western Sydney Wanderers Australia A-League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 22/03 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 17/03 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/03 | Buriram United AFC Champions League Elite |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 03/03 | Buriram United AFC Champions League Elite |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Weston Workers FC vs Melbourne City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Melbourne City win (84%). Probabilities: Weston Workers FC 5%, draw 11%, Melbourne City 84%.
How many goals are expected in Weston Workers FC vs Melbourne City?
The model expects 3.49 goals (Weston Workers FC 0.74 · Melbourne City 2.74), with a 57% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Weston Workers FC vs Melbourne City?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.