Prediction: Danubio vs Juventud De Las Piedras
Expected goals: 2.81 (Danubio 1.41 · Juventud De Las Piedras 1.41). The model gives 36% home, 28% draw, 36% away. Over 2.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Danubio is 1-4-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Juventud De Las Piedras 4-4-2 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Danubio won 3 and Juventud De Las Piedras 2, with 1 draw.
| Danubio | Draw | Juventud De Las Piedras | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 28% | 36% |
| Market | 36% | 29% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Danubio: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Danubio | Juventud De Las Piedras | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.6 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.6 | 5.1 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Danubio 3–1–2 Juventud De Las Piedras
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/26 Uruguay Apertura | Danubio | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Juventud De Las Piedras |
| 10/08/25 Uruguay Clausura | Danubio | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Juventud De Las Piedras |
| 21/06/25 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Juventud De Las Piedras | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Danubio |
| 09/02/25 Uruguay Apertura | Juventud De Las Piedras | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Danubio |
| 13/10/21 Uruguay Segunda | Danubio | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Juventud De Las Piedras |
| 01/07/21 Uruguay Segunda | Juventud De Las Piedras | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Danubio |
Standings · Uruguay Torneo Intermedio · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Maldonado | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Montevideo Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Torque | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 5 | Albion FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 8 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Danubio | Juventud De Las Piedras |
|---|---|---|
| Montevideo Wanderers | 0-0 D | 2-5 L |
| Club Atletico Progreso | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Liverpool Montevideo | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Nacional De Football | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Danubio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/05 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 09/05 | Albion FC Uruguay Apertura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Apertura |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Apertura |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 19/04 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Central Espanol Uruguay Apertura |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 04/04 | Torque Uruguay Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 31/03 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Apertura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
Juventud De Las Piedras
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-1 | 2-5 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 28/05 | Cienciano Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 22/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Apertura |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 06/05 | Atletico Mineiro Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Apertura |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 30/04 | Academia Puerto Cabello Copa Sudamericana |
4-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Danubio vs Juventud De Las Piedras?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Danubio win (36%). Probabilities: Danubio 36%, draw 28%, Juventud De Las Piedras 36%.
How many goals are expected in Danubio vs Juventud De Las Piedras?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Danubio 1.41 · Juventud De Las Piedras 1.41), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Danubio vs Juventud De Las Piedras?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.