Prediction: Danubio vs Nacional De Football
Expected goals: 2.52 (Danubio 1.03 · Nacional De Football 1.49). The model gives 25% home, 28% draw, 47% away. Over 2 goals (58%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Danubio with 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; Nacional De Football has piled up 5-1-4 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Danubio and 3 for Nacional De Football, with 2 draws.
| Danubio | Draw | Nacional De Football | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 29% | 46% |
| Market | 25% | 28% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Nacional De Football: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Danubio | Nacional De Football | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.6 | 3 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.6 | 5.2 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Danubio 1–2–3 Nacional De Football
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Uruguay Apertura | Nacional De Football | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Danubio |
| 12/10/25 Uruguay Clausura | Danubio | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nacional De Football |
| 29/06/25 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Nacional De Football | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Danubio |
| 13/04/25 Uruguay Apertura | Nacional De Football | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Danubio |
| 28/11/24 Uruguay Clausura | Danubio | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nacional De Football |
| 13/07/24 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Danubio | 0-6 HT 0-3 | Nacional De Football |
Standings · Uruguay Torneo Intermedio · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Maldonado | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Montevideo Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Torque | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 5 | Albion FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 8 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Danubio | Nacional De Football |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Maldonado | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Albion FC | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Torque | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Nacional De Football (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Danubio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/05 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 09/05 | Albion FC Uruguay Apertura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Apertura |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Apertura |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 19/04 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Central Espanol Uruguay Apertura |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 04/04 | Torque Uruguay Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 31/03 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Apertura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
Nacional De Football
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 27/05 | Coquimbo Unido Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Albion FC Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 12 | W |
| 21/05 | Universitario de Deportes Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Torque Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Cerro Uruguay Apertura |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/05 | Deportes Tolima Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/05 | Albion FC Uruguay Apertura |
1-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 30/04 | Universitario de Deportes Copa Libertadores |
1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Danubio vs Nacional De Football?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Nacional De Football win (47%). Probabilities: Danubio 25%, draw 28%, Nacional De Football 47%.
How many goals are expected in Danubio vs Nacional De Football?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Danubio 1.03 · Nacional De Football 1.49), with a 58% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Danubio vs Nacional De Football?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.