Prediction: FC Ylivieska vs FC Kiisto
Expected goals: 4.48 (FC Ylivieska 1.82 · FC Kiisto 2.66). The model gives 26% home, 19% draw, 55% away. Over 4.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (63%). Most likely score: 1-2.
Over its last 10 matches, FC Ylivieska sits at 4-1-5 (W-D-L), while FC Kiisto arrives on a 7-2-1 run. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for FC Ylivieska and 4 for FC Kiisto.
| FC Ylivieska | Draw | FC Kiisto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 19% | 55% |
| Market | 26% | 19% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Kiisto (rating 1484 vs 1589).
- H2H favours FC Kiisto: 4-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Ylivieska | FC Kiisto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 2.3 | 2.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 1 | 1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/25/25% | 38/38/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.1 | 0.9 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Ylivieska 0–0–4 FC Kiisto
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/25 Finland Kolmonen | FC Kiisto | 7-2 | FC Ylivieska |
| 26/06/25 Finland Kolmonen | FC Ylivieska | 1-5 HT 0-2 | FC Kiisto |
| 16/08/24 Finland Kolmonen | FC Kiisto | 6-0 | FC Ylivieska |
| 09/09/22 Finland Kolmonen | FC Kiisto | 5-2 HT 3-1 | FC Ylivieska |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VIFK | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 7 | 28 |
| 2 | FC Kiisto | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 13 | 23 |
| 3 | Virkia | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 17 |
| 4 | FC Ylivieska | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 16 |
| 5 | SJK-j | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 15 |
| 6 | SIF | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 15 |
| 7 | Nykarleby IK | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 27 | 15 |
| 8 | VPV Pallo-Veikot | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 14 |
| 9 | Sporting Kristina | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 14 |
| 10 | KPV Akatemia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 32 | 7 |
| 11 | LBK | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 7 |
| 12 | Sääripotku | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 1 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Ylivieska | FC Kiisto |
|---|---|---|
| LBK | 4-1 W | 5-0 W |
| KPV Akatemia | 3-5 L | 4-4 D |
| VPV Pallo-Veikot | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| SJK-j | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| SIF | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Virkia | 1-2 L | 3-3 D |
| Nykarleby IK | 4-6 L | 5-1 W |
| Sääripotku | 8-0 W | 2-0 W |
| VIFK | 2-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 4 L | 6 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Kiisto (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Ylivieska
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | LBK Finland Kolmonen |
3-1 | 4-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 23/06 | KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 3-5 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 17/06 | VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/06 | SJK-j Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 04/06 | SIF Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 28/05 | Virkia Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen |
3-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Sääripotku Finland Kolmonen |
– | 8-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | VIFK Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 29/04 | RoPS Finland Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
FC Kiisto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Sääripotku Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/06 | VIFK Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/06 | Virkia Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 10/06 | Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 04/06 | LBK Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/05 | KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen |
0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/05 | VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 14/05 | SJK-j Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 07/05 | SIF Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 23/04 | Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Ylivieska vs FC Kiisto?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Kiisto win (55%). Probabilities: FC Ylivieska 26%, draw 19%, FC Kiisto 55%.
How many goals are expected in FC Ylivieska vs FC Kiisto?
The model expects 4.48 goals (FC Ylivieska 1.82 · FC Kiisto 2.66), with a 52% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Ylivieska vs FC Kiisto?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.