Prediction: Nykarleby IK vs FC Kiisto
| Nykarleby IK | Draw | FC Kiisto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 15% | 73% |
| Market | 13% | 14% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Kiisto (rating 1490 vs 1595).
- H2H favours FC Kiisto: 4-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nykarleby IK | FC Kiisto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.2 | 2.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.6 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/29/43% | 38/38/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.7 | 1.3 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nykarleby IK 0–0–4 FC Kiisto
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/26 Finland Kolmonen | FC Kiisto | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Nykarleby IK |
| 27/05/22 Finland Kolmonen | FC Kiisto | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Nykarleby IK |
| 24/08/21 Finland Kolmonen | Nykarleby IK | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FC Kiisto |
| 03/08/19 Finland Kolmonen | FC Kiisto | 7-1 HT 5-1 | Nykarleby IK |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VIFK | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 7 | 28 |
| 2 | FC Kiisto | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | SIF | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 18 |
| 4 | Virkia | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Ylivieska | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 29 | 16 |
| 6 | SJK-j | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 15 |
| 7 | Nykarleby IK | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 27 | 15 |
| 8 | VPV Pallo-Veikot | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 14 |
| 9 | Sporting Kristina | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 14 |
| 10 | KPV Akatemia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 32 | 7 |
| 11 | LBK | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 7 |
| 12 | Sääripotku | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 1 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nykarleby IK | FC Kiisto |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kristina | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| LBK | 0-5 L | 5-0 W |
| KPV Akatemia | 2-1 W | 4-4 D |
| VPV Pallo-Veikot | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| SJK-j | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| SIF | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| FC Ylivieska | 6-4 W | 5-1 W |
| Virkia | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Sääripotku | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| VIFK | 0-6 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 3 L | 7 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Kiisto (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nykarleby IK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 25/06 | LBK Finland Kolmonen |
0-4 | 0-5 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 18/06 | KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 11/06 | VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 04/06 | SJK-j Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 28/05 | SIF Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen |
3-3 | 6-4 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | Virkia Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/05 | Sääripotku Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | VIFK Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-6 | – | – | L |
FC Kiisto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 03/07 | Sääripotku Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/06 | VIFK Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/06 | Virkia Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 10/06 | Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 04/06 | LBK Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/05 | KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen |
0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/05 | VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 14/05 | SJK-j Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 07/05 | SIF Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nykarleby IK vs FC Kiisto?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Kiisto win (73%). Probabilities: Nykarleby IK 12%, draw 14%, FC Kiisto 73%.
How many goals are expected in Nykarleby IK vs FC Kiisto?
The model expects 4.31 goals (Nykarleby IK 1.26 · FC Kiisto 3.05), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Nykarleby IK vs FC Kiisto?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.