Football · Finland Kolmonen · 16/07, 18:00

Prediction: SJK-j vs KPV Akatemia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.44Total
SJK-j2.75
KPV Akatemia1.69
1X2
60% 18% 22%
SJK-j Draw KPV Akatemia
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
SJK-j 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WWLWDLDDLL
KPV Akatemia 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLDLWLWL
Head-to-head
SJK-j 4–1 KPV Akatemia (5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SJK-j 1504 · KPV Akatemia 1437
SJK-jDrawKPV Akatemia
Our model59%19%22%
Market60%18%22%
Estimated total (ours) 4.44 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SJK-j (rating 1504 vs 1437).
  • H2H favours SJK-j: 4-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SJK-jKPV Akatemia
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.22.4 / 3.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 11.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)13/25/63%43/14/43%
Corners (HT / FT)3.6 / 7.51.4 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.42.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · SJK-j 401 KPV Akatemia

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/04/26
Finland Kolmonen
KPV Akatemia2-4
HT 2-0
SJK-j
16/09/25
Finland Kolmonen
KPV Akatemia2-3SJK-j
25/06/25
Finland Kolmonen
SJK-j1-0
HT 0-0
KPV Akatemia
22/05/23
Finland Kolmonen
KPV Akatemia1-9
HT 1-4
SJK-j
09/08/22
Finland Kolmonen
KPV Akatemia3-0
HT 2-0
SJK-j

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 VIFK 11911 37728
2 FC Kiisto 11821 341426
3 SIF 12534 241818
4 Virkia 10523 191517
5 FC Ylivieska 11515 352916
6 SJK-j 11434 221415
7 Nykarleby IK 11434 162715
8 VPV Pallo-Veikot 9423 171414
9 Sporting Kristina 10424 151414
10 KPV Akatemia 10217 24327
11 LBK 11218 12307
12 Sääripotku 9018 3441

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSJK-jKPV Akatemia
Virkia 0-1 L 2-4 L
SIF 2-2 D 2-3 L
FC Ylivieska 2-2 D 5-3 W
Nykarleby IK 1-3 L 1-2 L
VIFK 0-0 D 1-7 L
Sääripotku 10-0 W 5-0 W
FC Kiisto 0-2 L 4-4 D
Sporting Kristina 1-0 W 1-3 L
LBK 2-0 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: SJK-j (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SJK-j

WWLWDLDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 VPV Pallo-Veikot
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-2 44 L
24/06 Virkia
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-1 32 L
17/06 SIF
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 2-2 74 D
11/06 FC Ylivieska
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 2-2 65 D
04/06 Nykarleby IK
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 1-3 65 L
23/05 VIFK
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 D
19/05 Sääripotku
Finland Kolmonen
4-0 10-0 150 W
14/05 FC Kiisto
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-2 112 L
09/05 Sporting Kristina
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 W
03/05 LBK
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 2-0 84 W

KPV Akatemia

LLLLDLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/07 SIF
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 2-3 11 L
23/06 FC Ylivieska
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 5-3 17 W
18/06 Nykarleby IK
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-2 62 L
10/06 Sääripotku
Finland Kolmonen
5-0 W
03/06 VIFK
Finland Kolmonen
1-4 1-7 01 L
26/05 FC Kiisto
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 4-4 33 D
20/05 Sporting Kristina
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-3 62 L
13/05 LBK
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 L
08/05 Virkia
Finland Kolmonen
2-4 L
22/04 SJK-j
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 2-4 23 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SJK-j vs KPV Akatemia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SJK-j win (60%). Probabilities: SJK-j 60%, draw 18%, KPV Akatemia 22%.

How many goals are expected in SJK-j vs KPV Akatemia?

The model expects 4.44 goals (SJK-j 2.75 · KPV Akatemia 1.69), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SJK-j vs KPV Akatemia?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.