Football · Finland Kolmonen · 16/07, 18:00

Prediction: VPV Pallo-Veikot vs Virkia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.62Total
VPV Pallo-Veikot1.75
Virkia1.87
1X2
36% 23% 41%
VPV Pallo-Veikot Draw Virkia
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
VPV Pallo-Veikot 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WWLLLWDLDW
Virkia 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWDWWLWDWL
Head-to-head
VPV Pallo-Veikot 1–1–1 Virkia (3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VPV Pallo-Veikot 1506 · Virkia 1513
VPV Pallo-VeikotDrawVirkia
Our model36%24%41%
Market37%22%42%
Estimated total (ours) 3.62 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

VPV Pallo-VeikotVirkia
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.81.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.80.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/50/25%14/43/43%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 2.51.3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.12.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · VPV Pallo-Veikot 111 Virkia

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Finland Kolmonen
Virkia1-3VPV Pallo-Veikot
07/08/21
Finland Kolmonen
Virkia3-3
HT 0-2
VPV Pallo-Veikot
28/06/18
Finland Kolmonen
Virkia2-1
HT 1-1
VPV Pallo-Veikot

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 VIFK 121011 44831
2 FC Kiisto 11821 341426
3 SIF 12534 241818
4 Virkia 10523 191517
5 FC Ylivieska 11515 352916
6 SJK-j 11434 221415
7 Nykarleby IK 11434 162715
8 VPV Pallo-Veikot 9423 171414
9 Sporting Kristina 10424 151414
10 KPV Akatemia 10217 24327
11 LBK 11218 12307
12 Sääripotku 10019 4511

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVPV Pallo-VeikotVirkia
SJK-j 2-0 W 1-0 W
SIF 1-1 D 3-0 W
FC Ylivieska 0-4 L 2-1 W
Nykarleby IK 1-1 D 1-1 D
VIFK 1-2 L 1-3 L
FC Kiisto 0-2 L 3-3 D
Sporting Kristina 1-4 L 0-2 L
LBK 3-1 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 4 L 4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Virkia (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VPV Pallo-Veikot

WWLLLWDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 SJK-j
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 2-0 34 W
25/06 SIF
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-1 44 D
17/06 FC Ylivieska
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-4 03 L
11/06 Nykarleby IK
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-1 23 D
04/06 Sääripotku
Finland Kolmonen
6-2 W
27/05 VIFK
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-2 12 L
19/05 FC Kiisto
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-2 20 L
14/05 Sporting Kristina
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-4 44 L
07/05 LBK
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 3-1 43 W
25/04 Virkia
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 W

Virkia

LWDWWLWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/06 VIFK
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-3 13 L
24/06 SJK-j
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-0 42 W
17/06 FC Kiisto
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 3-3 71 D
11/06 SIF
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 3-0 33 W
06/06 Sporting Kristina
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-2 111 L
28/05 FC Ylivieska
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 2-1 83 W
23/05 LBK
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 W
13/05 Nykarleby IK
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 D
08/05 KPV Akatemia
Finland Kolmonen
4-2 W
29/04 JS Hercules
Finland Cup
1-1 1-4 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VPV Pallo-Veikot vs Virkia?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Virkia win (41%). Probabilities: VPV Pallo-Veikot 36%, draw 23%, Virkia 41%.

How many goals are expected in VPV Pallo-Veikot vs Virkia?

The model expects 3.62 goals (VPV Pallo-Veikot 1.75 · Virkia 1.87), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in VPV Pallo-Veikot vs Virkia?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.