Football · Finland Kolmonen · 17/07, 18:00

Prediction: Komeetat vs JPS

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.25Total
Komeetat1.13
JPS3.13
1X2
7% 11% 81%
Komeetat Draw JPS
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
Komeetat 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
LLWLLLLLWW
JPS 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
LWDWWDWWWW
Head-to-head
Komeetat 1–1–2 JPS (4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Komeetat 1458 · JPS 1586
KomeetatDrawJPS
Our model10%14%76%
Market6%9%86%
Estimated total (ours) 4.25 goals · Bet365 line 4.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JPS (rating 1458 vs 1586).
  • H2H favours JPS: 2-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KomeetatJPS
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 2.13.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.31.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/50/17%83/17/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.52 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.21.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Komeetat 112 JPS

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/05/26
Finland Kolmonen
JPS3-0Komeetat
02/08/23
Finland Kolmonen
JPS3-0
HT 1-0
Komeetat
17/06/21
Finland Kolmonen
Komeetat1-1
HT 1-1
JPS
05/08/20
Finland Kolmonen
JPS0-4
HT 0-1
Komeetat

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 JPS 9720 29623
2 FCJ Blackbird 9531 281718
3 FC Metso 9531 231418
4 JJK/2 8404 202112
5 Komeetat 9306 14199
6 KeuPa 8143 13207
7 Savon Pallo 9216 16267
8 FC Vaajakoski II 11218 15357

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKomeetatJPS
Savon Pallo 3-2 W 3-1 W
FC Vaajakoski II 5-1 W 3-0 W
FC Metso 0-2 L 5-0 W
KeuPa 1-2 L 3-0 W
JJK/2 0-2 L 4-0 W
FCJ Blackbird 3-4 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 4 L 5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: JPS (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Komeetat

LLWLLLLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 Savon Pallo
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 3-2 34 W
17/06 FC Vaajakoski II
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 5-1 111 W
12/06 FC Metso
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-2 43 L
05/06 KeuPa
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 1-2 36 L
27/05 JJK/2
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-2 21 L
22/05 FCJ Blackbird
Finland Kolmonen
3-4 L
15/05 JPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 L
09/05 Savon Pallo
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 W
29/04 FC Vaajakoski II
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 L
17/04 KeuPa
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-2 46 L

JPS

LWDWWDWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/06 KeuPa
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 3-0 80 W
17/06 Savon Pallo
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 W
10/06 JJK/2
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 4-0 110 W
02/06 FC Vaajakoski II
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 3-0 50 W
29/05 FCJ Blackbird
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 1-1 43 D
22/05 FC Metso
Finland Kolmonen
5-0 W
15/05 Komeetat
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 W
08/05 KeuPa
Finland Kolmonen
3-3 D
06/05 Savon Pallo
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 4-1 43 W
28/04 MP
Finland Cup
1-1 3-5 12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Komeetat vs JPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is an JPS win (81%). Probabilities: Komeetat 7%, draw 11%, JPS 81%.

How many goals are expected in Komeetat vs JPS?

The model expects 4.25 goals (Komeetat 1.13 · JPS 3.13), with a 53% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Komeetat vs JPS?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.