Football · Finland Kolmonen · 17/07, 18:00

Prediction: ToU vs Kings SC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.41Total
ToU1.21
Kings SC3.21
1X2
9% 12% 80%
ToU Draw Kings SC
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
ToU 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
LLWLLLWWLL
Kings SC 9-0-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWWLWWWW
Head-to-head
ToU 2–1–3 Kings SC (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ToU 1452 · Kings SC 1590
ToUDrawKings SC
Our model10%14%76%
Market7%10%83%
Estimated total (ours) 4.41 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kings SC (rating 1452 vs 1590).
  • H2H favours Kings SC: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ToUKings SC
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 2.93.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.61 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/20/60%67/33/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3.6 / 6.61.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 0.24.3 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · ToU 213 Kings SC

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/05/26
Finland Kolmonen
Kings SC8-0ToU
13/09/25
Finland Kolmonen
ToU3-2Kings SC
30/06/25
Finland Kolmonen
Kings SC8-1
HT 3-1
ToU
23/05/25
Finland Kolmonen
ToU2-2
HT 0-1
Kings SC
20/08/24
Finland Kolmonen
Kings SC2-3
HT 0-2
ToU
03/05/24
Finland Kolmonen
Kings SC2-1
HT 2-1
ToU

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kings SC 111001 351330
2 NiemU 12912 29728
3 KUPS Akatemia II 12525 302517
4 Yllatys 12426 242814
5 Jippo II 12345 202313
6 SC Zulimanit 11326 112211
7 ToU 11317 113110
8 PK-37 11227 16278

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentToUKings SC
PK-37 0-3 L 3-1 W
Jippo II 1-3 L 6-2 W
Yllatys 1-0 W 2-1 W
KUPS Akatemia II 3-1 W 2-3 L
SC Zulimanit 0-1 L 2-0 W
NiemU 0-6 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 4 L 5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kings SC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ToU

LLWLLLWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 PK-37
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-3 24 L
18/06 Jippo II
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-3 73 L
11/06 Yllatys
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 1-0 32 W
05/06 KUPS Akatemia II
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 W
29/05 SC Zulimanit
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-1 143 L
23/05 NiemU
Finland Kolmonen
0-6 L
15/05 Kings SC
Finland Kolmonen
0-8 L
08/05 PK-37
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 W
29/04 Jippo II
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 L
24/04 Yllatys
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-4 71 L

Kings SC

WWWWWLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 NiemU
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 W
17/06 PK-37
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 W
10/06 Jippo II
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 6-2 34 W
05/06 Yllatys
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 W
27/05 KUPS Akatemia II
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-3 26 L
22/05 SC Zulimanit
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 W
15/05 ToU
Finland Kolmonen
8-0 W
06/05 NiemU
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 W
03/05 PK-37
Finland Kolmonen
3-2 W
21/04 Jippo II
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 3-1 64 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ToU vs Kings SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kings SC win (80%). Probabilities: ToU 9%, draw 12%, Kings SC 80%.

How many goals are expected in ToU vs Kings SC?

The model expects 4.41 goals (ToU 1.21 · Kings SC 3.21), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in ToU vs Kings SC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.