Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 12/10, 03:10
Prediction: Antigua GFC vs Coban Imperial
Team pages: Antigua GFC · Coban Imperial
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
Antigua GFC1.96
Coban Imperial1.14
1X2
Antigua GFC
Draw
Coban Imperial
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Antigua GFC
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Coban Imperial
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Antigua GFC
2–3–1
Coban Imperial
(6 last)
- Coban Imperial0-2Antigua GFC
- Antigua GFC2-2Coban Imperial
- Coban Imperial5-1Antigua GFC
- Antigua GFC0-0Coban Imperial
- Coban Imperial2-2Antigua GFC
- Antigua GFC4-0Coban Imperial
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Antigua GFC 1490 · Coban Imperial 1487
| Antigua GFC | Draw | Coban Imperial | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 24% | 21% |
| Market | 55% | 24% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Antigua GFC: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 12.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Antigua GFC | Coban Imperial | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 2.7 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.3 | 6.2 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Antigua GFC 2–3–1 Coban Imperial
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Coban Imperial | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Antigua GFC |
| 09/03/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Antigua GFC | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Coban Imperial |
| 21/01/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Coban Imperial | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Antigua GFC |
| 06/11/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Antigua GFC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Coban Imperial |
| 31/08/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Coban Imperial | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Antigua GFC |
| 11/05/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Antigua GFC | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Coban Imperial |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guastatoya | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 | CSD Municipal | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
| 3 | Antigua GFC | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 22 |
| 4 | Marquense | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 19 |
| 5 | Xelaju | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 18 |
| 6 | Deportivo Mixco | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo San Pedro | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 18 |
| 8 | Aurora | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 22 | 15 |
| 9 | Malacateco | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 15 |
| 10 | CSD Comunicaciones | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 14 |
| 11 | Coban Imperial | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 13 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Antigua GFC | Coban Imperial |
|---|---|---|
| Marquense | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Mixco | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Xelaju | 0-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Suchitepequez | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Malacateco | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Aurora | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 3-4 L | 1-1 D |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Coban Imperial (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Antigua GFC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 03/10 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 24/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 15/09 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 11/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 19/08 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
Coban Imperial
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 27/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 13/09 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 11/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 24/08 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/08 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 15/08 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Antigua GFC vs Coban Imperial?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Antigua GFC win (55%). Probabilities: Antigua GFC 55%, draw 24%, Coban Imperial 21%.
How many goals are expected in Antigua GFC vs Coban Imperial?
The model expects 3.11 goals (Antigua GFC 1.96 · Coban Imperial 1.14), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Antigua GFC vs Coban Imperial?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.