Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 19/10, 04:10
Prediction: Marquense vs Suchitepequez
Team pages: Marquense · Suchitepequez
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Marquense2.04
Suchitepequez0.89
1X2
Marquense
Draw
Suchitepequez
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Marquense
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Suchitepequez
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Marquense
4–2
Suchitepequez
(6 last)
- Suchitepequez1-2Marquense
- Suchitepequez2-1Marquense
- Marquense1-0Suchitepequez
- Marquense3-0Suchitepequez
- Suchitepequez2-0Marquense
- Marquense2-1Suchitepequez
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marquense 1539 · Suchitepequez 1439
| Marquense | Draw | Suchitepequez | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 22% | 15% |
| Market | 63% | 23% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marquense (rating 1539 vs 1439).
- H2H favours Marquense: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Marquense | Suchitepequez | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1.4 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 7.3 | 1.1 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.5 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marquense 4–0–2 Suchitepequez
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Suchitepequez | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Marquense |
| 19/05/24 Guatemala Primera Division | Suchitepequez | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Marquense |
| 13/05/24 Guatemala Primera Division | Marquense | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Suchitepequez |
| 07/03/24 Guatemala Primera Division | Marquense | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Suchitepequez |
| 22/01/24 Guatemala Primera Division | Suchitepequez | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Marquense |
| 08/11/23 Guatemala Primera Division | Marquense | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Suchitepequez |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 26 |
| 2 | Guastatoya | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 26 |
| 3 | CSD Municipal | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportivo San Pedro | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 22 |
| 5 | Xelaju | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 21 |
| 6 | Marquense | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 21 |
| 7 | Deportivo Mixco | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 20 |
| 8 | Aurora | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 23 | 18 |
| 9 | Coban Imperial | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 15 |
| 11 | CSD Comunicaciones | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 14 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 8 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Marquense | Suchitepequez |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Mixco | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| CSD Municipal | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Antigua GFC | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Malacateco | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Aurora | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Xelaju | 0-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Guastatoya | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Coban Imperial | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 4 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Marquense (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marquense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 12/10 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/10 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 5 | D |
| 10/09 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-3 | 0-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/08 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Suchitepequez
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 05/10 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/09 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 15/09 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 10/09 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marquense vs Suchitepequez?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Marquense win (63%). Probabilities: Marquense 63%, draw 23%, Suchitepequez 14%.
How many goals are expected in Marquense vs Suchitepequez?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Marquense 2.04 · Suchitepequez 0.89), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Marquense vs Suchitepequez?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.