Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 18/10, 23:00
Prediction: Deportivo Mixco vs Coban Imperial
Team pages: Deportivo Mixco · Coban Imperial
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
Deportivo Mixco1.99
Coban Imperial1.13
1X2
Deportivo Mixco
Draw
Coban Imperial
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Mixco
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Coban Imperial
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Mixco
2–2–2
Coban Imperial
(6 last)
- Coban Imperial3-2Deportivo Mixco
- Deportivo Mixco2-0Coban Imperial
- Coban Imperial2-0Deportivo Mixco
- Coban Imperial1-1Deportivo Mixco
- Deportivo Mixco1-1Coban Imperial
- Deportivo Mixco1-0Coban Imperial
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Mixco 1511 · Coban Imperial 1502
| Deportivo Mixco | Draw | Coban Imperial | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Mixco | Coban Imperial | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 2.2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.5 | 5.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Mixco 2–2–2 Coban Imperial
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Coban Imperial | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Mixco |
| 02/05/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Deportivo Mixco | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Coban Imperial |
| 29/04/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Coban Imperial | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Deportivo Mixco |
| 21/03/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Coban Imperial | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Mixco |
| 31/01/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Deportivo Mixco | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Coban Imperial |
| 27/09/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Deportivo Mixco | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Coban Imperial |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 26 |
| 2 | Guastatoya | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 26 |
| 3 | CSD Municipal | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportivo San Pedro | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 22 |
| 5 | Xelaju | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 21 |
| 6 | Marquense | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 21 |
| 7 | Deportivo Mixco | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 20 |
| 8 | Aurora | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 23 | 18 |
| 9 | Coban Imperial | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 15 |
| 11 | CSD Comunicaciones | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 14 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 8 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Mixco | Coban Imperial |
|---|---|---|
| Marquense | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Suchitepequez | 3-3 D | 2-3 L |
| Antigua GFC | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Malacateco | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Aurora | 3-2 W | 3-2 W |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Xelaju | 1-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Guastatoya | 4-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Mixco (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Mixco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 27/09 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 21/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 09/09 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
Coban Imperial
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 12/10 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 27/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 13/09 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 11/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 24/08 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Mixco vs Coban Imperial?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Mixco win (56%). Probabilities: Deportivo Mixco 56%, draw 24%, Coban Imperial 20%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Mixco vs Coban Imperial?
The model expects 3.12 goals (Deportivo Mixco 1.99 · Coban Imperial 1.13), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Mixco vs Coban Imperial?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.