Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 21/10, 04:00
Prediction: Malacateco vs CSD Comunicaciones
Team pages: Malacateco · CSD Comunicaciones
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Malacateco1.43
CSD Comunicaciones1.1
1X2
Malacateco
Draw
CSD Comunicaciones
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Malacateco
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
CSD Comunicaciones
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Malacateco
2–1–3
CSD Comunicaciones
(6 last)
- CSD Comunicaciones4-2Malacateco
- Malacateco1-0CSD Comunicaciones
- CSD Comunicaciones3-2Malacateco
- Malacateco2-0CSD Comunicaciones
- CSD Comunicaciones1-0Malacateco
- Malacateco2-2CSD Comunicaciones
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Malacateco 1486 · CSD Comunicaciones 1456
| Malacateco | Draw | CSD Comunicaciones | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 29% | 28% |
| Market | 43% | 30% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CSD Comunicaciones: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Malacateco | CSD Comunicaciones | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4 | 2.6 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.3 | 5 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Malacateco 2–1–3 CSD Comunicaciones
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CSD Comunicaciones | 4-2 HT 3-2 | Malacateco |
| 26/04/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CSD Comunicaciones |
| 04/03/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CSD Comunicaciones | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Malacateco |
| 23/11/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 2-0 HT 0-0 | CSD Comunicaciones |
| 17/09/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CSD Comunicaciones | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Malacateco |
| 24/04/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Malacateco | 2-2 HT 0-0 | CSD Comunicaciones |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 29 |
| 2 | Guastatoya | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 27 |
| 3 | CSD Municipal | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 26 |
| 4 | Marquense | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | 24 |
| 5 | Deportivo Mixco | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 23 |
| 6 | Deportivo San Pedro | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 22 |
| 7 | Xelaju | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 21 |
| 8 | Aurora | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 21 |
| 9 | Coban Imperial | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | 16 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 15 |
| 11 | CSD Comunicaciones | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 14 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 8 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Malacateco | CSD Comunicaciones |
|---|---|---|
| Xelaju | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Guastatoya | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Coban Imperial | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Marquense | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Deportivo Mixco | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| CSD Municipal | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Antigua GFC | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Suchitepequez | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Aurora | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 5 L | 2 W 2 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Malacateco (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Malacateco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 03/10 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 27/09 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 21/09 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/09 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 31/08 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/08 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
CSD Comunicaciones
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 11/10 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 05/10 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 27/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 10/09 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Malacateco vs CSD Comunicaciones?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Malacateco win (43%). Probabilities: Malacateco 43%, draw 29%, CSD Comunicaciones 27%.
How many goals are expected in Malacateco vs CSD Comunicaciones?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Malacateco 1.43 · CSD Comunicaciones 1.1), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Malacateco vs CSD Comunicaciones?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.