Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 12/10, 01:00
Prediction: CSD Municipal vs Marquense
Team pages: CSD Municipal · Marquense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
CSD Municipal1.9
Marquense0.59
1X2
CSD Municipal
Draw
Marquense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
CSD Municipal
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Marquense
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSD Municipal
6–0
Marquense
(6 last)
- Marquense1-2CSD Municipal
- Marquense1-3CSD Municipal
- CSD Municipal1-0Marquense
- Marquense0-2CSD Municipal
- CSD Municipal3-0Marquense
- CSD Municipal1-0Marquense
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSD Municipal 1585 · Marquense 1495
| CSD Municipal | Draw | Marquense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 22% | 10% |
| Market | 69% | 20% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSD Municipal (rating 1585 vs 1495).
- H2H favours CSD Municipal: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSD Municipal | Marquense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.7 | 2 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSD Municipal 6–0–0 Marquense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Marquense | 1-2 HT 1-2 | CSD Municipal |
| 19/04/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Marquense | 1-3 HT 0-1 | CSD Municipal |
| 01/03/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CSD Municipal | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Marquense |
| 30/11/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Marquense | 0-2 HT 0-2 | CSD Municipal |
| 21/09/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CSD Municipal | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Marquense |
| 11/05/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CSD Municipal | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Marquense |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guastatoya | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 | CSD Municipal | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
| 3 | Antigua GFC | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 22 |
| 4 | Marquense | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 19 |
| 5 | Xelaju | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 18 |
| 6 | Deportivo Mixco | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo San Pedro | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 18 |
| 8 | Aurora | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 22 | 15 |
| 9 | Malacateco | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 15 |
| 10 | CSD Comunicaciones | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 14 |
| 11 | Coban Imperial | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 13 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 6 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CSD Municipal | Marquense |
|---|---|---|
| Antigua GFC | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Suchitepequez | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Malacateco | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Aurora | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Xelaju | 2-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Guastatoya | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Coban Imperial | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 3 D 1 L | 6 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSD Municipal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 25/09 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 10/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 07/09 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 10/08 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 03/08 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
Marquense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 5 | D |
| 10/09 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-3 | 0-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/08 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/08 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSD Municipal vs Marquense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CSD Municipal win (69%). Probabilities: CSD Municipal 69%, draw 21%, Marquense 11%.
How many goals are expected in CSD Municipal vs Marquense?
The model expects 2.49 goals (CSD Municipal 1.9 · Marquense 0.59), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CSD Municipal vs Marquense?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.