Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 15/10, 01:00
Prediction: CSD Comunicaciones vs Aurora
Team pages: CSD Comunicaciones · Aurora
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
CSD Comunicaciones1.87
Aurora0.9
1X2
CSD Comunicaciones
Draw
Aurora
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
CSD Comunicaciones
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Aurora
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSD Comunicaciones
1–1–4
Aurora
(6 last)
- Aurora3-1CSD Comunicaciones
- CSD Comunicaciones1-0Aurora
- Aurora2-0CSD Comunicaciones
- Aurora0-0CSD Comunicaciones
- CSD Comunicaciones0-2Aurora
- Aurora1-0CSD Comunicaciones
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSD Comunicaciones 1470 · Aurora 1488
| CSD Comunicaciones | Draw | Aurora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 24% | 16% |
| Market | 60% | 23% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Aurora: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSD Comunicaciones | Aurora | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 1.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.3 | 2.1 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.7 | 4.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSD Comunicaciones 1–1–4 Aurora
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Aurora | 3-1 HT 3-0 | CSD Comunicaciones |
| 11/04/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CSD Comunicaciones | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Aurora |
| 22/02/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Aurora | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CSD Comunicaciones |
| 05/11/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Aurora | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CSD Comunicaciones |
| 31/08/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CSD Comunicaciones | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Aurora |
| 08/07/17 World Club Friendlies | Aurora | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CSD Comunicaciones |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSD Municipal | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 25 |
| 2 | Antigua GFC | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 25 |
| 3 | Guastatoya | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportivo San Pedro | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 21 |
| 5 | Marquense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 20 |
| 6 | Deportivo Mixco | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 19 |
| 7 | Xelaju | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 18 |
| 8 | Aurora | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 22 | 15 |
| 9 | Malacateco | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 15 |
| 10 | CSD Comunicaciones | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 14 |
| 11 | Coban Imperial | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 13 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 7 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CSD Comunicaciones | Aurora |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo San Pedro | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Suchitepequez | 3-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Xelaju | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Guastatoya | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Coban Imperial | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Marquense | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Mixco | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| CSD Municipal | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Antigua GFC | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Malacateco | 4-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 5 L | 4 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: CSD Comunicaciones (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSD Comunicaciones
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 05/10 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 27/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 10/09 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 16/08 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-2 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
Aurora
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 05/10 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 10/09 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 31/08 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSD Comunicaciones vs Aurora?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CSD Comunicaciones win (60%). Probabilities: CSD Comunicaciones 60%, draw 24%, Aurora 17%.
How many goals are expected in CSD Comunicaciones vs Aurora?
The model expects 2.77 goals (CSD Comunicaciones 1.87 · Aurora 0.9), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CSD Comunicaciones vs Aurora?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.