Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 25/10, 20:00
Prediction: Coban Imperial vs Marquense
Team pages: Coban Imperial · Marquense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Coban Imperial1.66
Marquense0.91
1X2
Coban Imperial
Draw
Marquense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Coban Imperial
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Marquense
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Coban Imperial
3–3
Marquense
(6 last)
- Marquense2-1Coban Imperial
- Marquense3-1Coban Imperial
- Coban Imperial2-0Marquense
- Coban Imperial3-0Marquense
- Marquense1-0Coban Imperial
- Coban Imperial3-0Marquense
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coban Imperial 1483 · Marquense 1536
| Coban Imperial | Draw | Marquense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 27% | 19% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marquense (rating 1483 vs 1536).
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Coban Imperial | Marquense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.5 | 2.4 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.5 | 4.3 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coban Imperial 3–0–3 Marquense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Marquense | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Coban Imperial |
| 19/03/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Marquense | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Coban Imperial |
| 27/01/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Coban Imperial | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Marquense |
| 19/10/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Coban Imperial | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Marquense |
| 11/08/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Marquense | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Coban Imperial |
| 22/03/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Coban Imperial | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Marquense |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 29 |
| 2 | CSD Municipal | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | Guastatoya | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 27 |
| 4 | Deportivo Mixco | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 24 |
| 5 | Marquense | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | 24 |
| 6 | Deportivo San Pedro | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 22 |
| 7 | Xelaju | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 21 |
| 8 | Aurora | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 21 |
| 9 | Malacateco | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 18 |
| 10 | Coban Imperial | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | 16 |
| 11 | CSD Comunicaciones | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 24 | 14 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 8 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Coban Imperial | Marquense |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Mixco | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| CSD Municipal | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Antigua GFC | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Malacateco | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Aurora | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Xelaju | 0-0 D | 0-4 L |
| Guastatoya | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Suchitepequez | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 4 L | 5 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Marquense (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coban Imperial
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 15/10 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 12/10 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 27/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 13/09 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 11/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
Marquense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 15/10 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 12/10 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/10 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 5 | D |
| 10/09 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-3 | 0-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coban Imperial vs Marquense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Coban Imperial win (54%). Probabilities: Coban Imperial 54%, draw 26%, Marquense 20%.
How many goals are expected in Coban Imperial vs Marquense?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Coban Imperial 1.66 · Marquense 0.91), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Coban Imperial vs Marquense?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.