Prediction: Racing Santander vs Real Madrid
Team pages: Racing Santander · Real Madrid
| Racing Santander | Draw | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| Market | 8% | 12% | 80% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Madrid (rating 1467 vs 1640).
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Racing Santander | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.6 | 2.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.1 | 3.2 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Standings · Spain La Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 17 |
| 7 | CD Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 12 |
| 11 | Deportivo A Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 11 |
| 13 | Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 11 |
| 14 | Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19 | 10 |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 10 |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 9 |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 9 |
| 18 | Espanyol | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 8 |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 6 |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Racing Santander | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Barcelona | 2-7 L | 2-1 W |
| Rayo Vallecano | 2-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Elche | 3-2 W | 3-2 W |
| Villarreal | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 5 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Real Madrid (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Racing Santander
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Espanyol Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 18/10 | Osasuna Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | Valencia Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Celta Vigo Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 16/09 | Barcelona Spain La Liga |
1-4 | 2-7 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | CD Alaves Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 28/08 | Elche Spain La Liga |
3-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Getafe Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Villarreal Spain La Liga |
2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
Real Madrid
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Barcelona Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 18/10 | Sevilla Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Villarreal Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 20/09 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 15/09 | Elche Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga |
3-0 | 4-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 04/09 | Real Betis Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Malaga Spain La Liga |
3-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 26/08 | Real Sociedad Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Espanyol Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Real Madrid win (78%). Probabilities: Racing Santander 9%, draw 13%, Real Madrid 78%.
How many goals are expected in Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
The model expects 4.26 goals (Racing Santander 1.13 · Real Madrid 3.13), with a 53% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.