Football · Spain La Liga · 08/11, 14:00

Prediction: Elche vs Real Betis

Team pages: Elche · Real Betis

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

Elche1.31

Real Betis1.63

1X2

30% 26% 44%

Elche Draw Real Betis

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Elche 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLLLDLWDDW

Real Betis 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWDWLD

Head-to-head

Elche 1–1–4 Real Betis (6 last)

Real Betis2-1Elche
Real Betis2-1Elche
Elche1-1Real Betis
Elche2-3Real Betis
Real Betis3-0Elche
Real Betis0-1Elche

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Elche 1513 · Real Betis 1592

	Elche	Draw	Real Betis
Our model	30%	26%	44%
Market	30%	26%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Betis (rating 1513 vs 1592).
H2H favours Real Betis: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Elche	Real Betis
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.4	3.2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.60

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 16:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10
X	3.90 → 3.60▼	Pinn 3.78 ★
2	1.73 → 2.10▲	Pinn 2.17

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 7.7% Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
21:18 +3’	4.20	3.90	1.73
22:16 +2’	4.00▼	3.90	1.75▲
08:11 +4’	3.40▼	3.60▼	2.00▲
16:34 +4’	3.10▼	3.60	2.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:17 +1’	3.85	3.87	1.83
22:32 +46’	3.61▼	3.81▼	1.95▲
06:19 +55’	3.38▼	3.72▼	2.06▲
12:39 +38’	3.13▼	3.74▲	2.16▲
16:30 +8’	3.08▼	3.78▲	2.17▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Elche 1–1–4 Real Betis

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/05/26 Spain La Liga	Real Betis	2-1 HT 1-1	Elche
14/01/26 Spain Copa del Rey	Real Betis	2-1 HT 0-0	Elche
18/08/25 Spain La Liga	Elche	1-1 HT 0-1	Real Betis
24/02/23 Spain La Liga	Elche	2-3 HT 2-0	Real Betis
15/08/22 Spain La Liga	Real Betis	3-0 HT 2-0	Elche
19/04/22 Spain La Liga	Real Betis	0-1 HT 0-0	Elche

Standings · Spain La Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barcelona	10	9	0	1	40	11	27
2	Atletico Madrid	10	8	1	1	20	8	25
3	Real Madrid	10	8	0	2	25	10	24
4	Real Betis	10	6	2	2	16	14	20
5	Real Sociedad	10	6	1	3	19	18	19
6	Sevilla	10	5	2	3	16	16	17
7	CD Alaves	10	3	3	4	14	11	12
8	Athletic Bilbao	9	3	3	3	12	9	12
9	Celta Vigo	10	2	6	2	10	7	12
10	Villarreal	10	3	3	4	15	14	12
11	Deportivo A Coruna	10	2	5	3	13	13	11
12	Osasuna	10	3	2	5	10	20	11
13	Racing Santander	10	3	2	5	15	26	11
14	Levante	10	2	4	4	16	19	10
15	Elche	10	2	4	4	14	17	10
16	Rayo Vallecano	9	2	3	4	12	20	9
17	Getafe	10	2	3	5	5	15	9
18	Espanyol	10	2	2	6	12	14	8
19	Valencia	10	1	3	6	7	17	6
20	Malaga	10	0	5	5	7	19	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Elche	Real Betis
Villarreal	0-0 D	2-1 W
Celta Vigo	0-0 D	0-0 D
Real Madrid	2-3 L	1-0 W
Real Sociedad	2-3 L	1-0 W
Barcelona	0-5 L	2-5 L
Deportivo A Coruna	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Real Betis (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Elche

DLLLDLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga	2-0	3-0	3	6	W
17/10	Villarreal Spain La Liga	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
11/10	Celta Vigo Spain La Liga	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
18/09	Espanyol Spain La Liga	2-0	3-1	3	5	W
15/09	Real Madrid Spain La Liga	0-2	2-3	2	6	L
12/09	Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
07/09	Real Sociedad Spain La Liga	0-2	2-3	6	6	L
28/08	Racing Santander Spain La Liga	0-3	2-3	10	3	L
23/08	Barcelona Spain La Liga	0-2	0-5	3	1	L
17/08	Deportivo A Coruna Spain La Liga	0-1	1-1	6	4	D

Real Betis

WWLWWWDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Celta Vigo Spain La Liga	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
17/10	Barcelona Spain La Liga	1-2	2-5	2	6	L
11/10	Osasuna Spain La Liga	2-0	5-2	8	7	W
20/09	Deportivo A Coruna Spain La Liga	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
17/09	Getafe Spain La Liga	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
14/09	Villarreal Spain La Liga	2-1	2-1	4	1	W
04/09	Real Madrid Spain La Liga	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
29/08	Levante Spain La Liga	2-2	2-5	8	2	L
25/08	Valencia Spain La Liga	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
21/08	Real Sociedad Spain La Liga	0-0	1-0	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Elche vs Real Betis?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Real Betis win (44%). Probabilities: Elche 30%, draw 26%, Real Betis 44%.

How many goals are expected in Elche vs Real Betis?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Elche 1.31 · Real Betis 1.63), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Elche vs Real Betis?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.