Football · Spain La Liga · 17/08, 21:00
Prediction: Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche
Team pages: Elche
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
Deportivo La Coruna1.32
Elche1.07
1X2
Deportivo La Coruna
Draw
Elche
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo La Coruna
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Elche
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo La Coruna
2–2–2
Elche
(6 last)
- Deportivo La Coruna0-4Elche
- Elche0-0Deportivo La Coruna
- Elche0-1Deportivo La Coruna
- Deportivo La Coruna1-3Elche
- Elche0-0Deportivo La Coruna
- Deportivo La Coruna4-0Elche
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo La Coruna 1536 · Elche 1507
| Deportivo La Coruna | Draw | Elche | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 30% | 29% |
| Market | 41% | 30% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo La Coruna | Elche | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.5 | 1.3 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo La Coruna 2–2–2 Elche
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/25 Spain Segunda | Deportivo La Coruna | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Elche |
| 13/10/24 Spain Segunda | Elche | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo La Coruna |
| 23/06/20 Spain Segunda | Elche | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo La Coruna |
| 10/11/19 Spain Segunda | Deportivo La Coruna | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Elche |
| 04/06/19 Spain Segunda | Elche | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo La Coruna |
| 12/10/18 Spain Segunda | Deportivo La Coruna | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Elche |
Standings · Spain La Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Alaves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Sevilla | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Athletic Bilbao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Osasuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Elche | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Espanyol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Levante | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Malaga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Racing Santander | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Celta Vigo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Deportivo A Coruna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Valencia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Getafe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo La Coruna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Real Madrid Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Genoa Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 06/08 | Fiorentina Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | St Pauli Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 29/07 | Lugo Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Oviedo Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Compostela Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Las Palmas Spain Segunda |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Valladolid Spain Segunda |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Andorra Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
Elche
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Toulouse Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 31/07 | Cordoba Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 28/07 | Al Ain SCC World Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 24/07 | Johor Darul Takzim World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Kaizer Chiefs World Club Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Girona Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 17/05 | Getafe Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Real Betis Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | CD Alaves Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 03/05 | Celta Vigo Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo La Coruna win (41%). Probabilities: Deportivo La Coruna 41%, draw 30%, Elche 29%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Deportivo La Coruna 1.32 · Elche 1.07), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.