Football · Spain La Liga · 25/08, 21:00
Prediction: Valencia vs Real Betis
Team pages: Valencia · Real Betis
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
Valencia1.34
Real Betis1.34
1X2
Valencia
Draw
Real Betis
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Valencia
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Real Betis
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Valencia
1–2–3
Real Betis
(6 last)
- Real Betis2-1Valencia
- Valencia1-1Real Betis
- Real Betis1-1Valencia
- Valencia4-2Real Betis
- Valencia1-2Real Betis
- Real Betis3-0Valencia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valencia 1457 · Real Betis 1574
| Valencia | Draw | Real Betis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 28% | 36% |
| Market | 36% | 29% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Betis (rating 1457 vs 1574).
- H2H favours Real Betis: 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Valencia | Real Betis | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/44/11% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.1 | 2.4 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.6 | 1.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valencia 1–2–3 Real Betis
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Spain La Liga | Real Betis | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Valencia |
| 09/11/25 Spain La Liga | Valencia | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Real Betis |
| 23/05/25 Spain La Liga | Real Betis | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Valencia |
| 23/11/24 Spain La Liga | Valencia | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Real Betis |
| 20/04/24 Spain La Liga | Valencia | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Real Betis |
| 01/10/23 Spain La Liga | Real Betis | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Valencia |
Standings · Spain La Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Alaves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Sevilla | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Athletic Bilbao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Osasuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Elche | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Espanyol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Levante | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Malaga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Racing Santander | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Celta Vigo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Deportivo A Coruna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Valencia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Getafe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valencia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Teruel Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Newcastle Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Stoke Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 28/07 | Derby Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | CD Castellon Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/07 | Eldense Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Petro Luanda Europe Friendlies |
– | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Barcelona Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Real Sociedad Spain La Liga |
2-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
Real Betis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Inter Milan Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Bournemouth Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 05/08 | Arsenal Elite Club Friendlies |
3-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Almeria Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 29/07 | Lyon Elite Club Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Granada Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 22/07 | Rec de Huelva Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Sportfreunde Lotte Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Levante Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Barcelona Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valencia vs Real Betis?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Valencia win (36%). Probabilities: Valencia 36%, draw 28%, Real Betis 36%.
How many goals are expected in Valencia vs Real Betis?
The model expects 2.68 goals (Valencia 1.34 · Real Betis 1.34), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Valencia vs Real Betis?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.