Football · Spain La Liga · 24/08, 19:30
Prediction: Osasuna vs Levante
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Osasuna1.74
Levante0.95
1X2
Osasuna
Draw
Levante
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Osasuna
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Levante
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Osasuna
3–1–2
Levante
(6 last)
- Levante3-2Osasuna
- Osasuna2-0Levante
- Osasuna3-1Levante
- Levante0-0Osasuna
- Levante0-1Osasuna
- Osasuna1-3Levante
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Osasuna 1461 · Levante 1530
| Osasuna | Draw | Levante | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Market | 55% | 25% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Levante (rating 1461 vs 1530).
- H2H favours Osasuna: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Osasuna | Levante | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.7 | 2.5 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Osasuna 3–1–2 Levante
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Spain La Liga | Levante | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Osasuna |
| 08/12/25 Spain La Liga | Osasuna | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Levante |
| 19/03/22 Spain La Liga | Osasuna | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Levante |
| 05/12/21 Spain La Liga | Levante | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Osasuna |
| 14/02/21 Spain La Liga | Levante | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Osasuna |
| 27/09/20 Spain La Liga | Osasuna | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Levante |
Standings · Spain La Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athletic Bilbao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Atletico Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Osasuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Elche | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CD Alaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Espanyol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barcelona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Getafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Levante | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Malaga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rayo Vallecano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Celta Vigo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Deportivo La Coruna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Betis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sevilla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Valencia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Villarreal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Osasuna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Al Ain SCC Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Al Ain FC World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 05/08 | Napoli Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Norwich Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 29/07 | Ipswich Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/07 | Racing Santander Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Getafe Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Espanyol Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 12/05 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 11 | L |
| 08/05 | Levante Spain La Liga |
2-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
Levante
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | CD Castellon Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/08 | Villarreal Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Albacete Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 17/07 | Sheff Utd Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Leganes Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Real Betis Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Mallorca Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | Celta Vigo Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Osasuna Spain La Liga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 15 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Osasuna vs Levante?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Osasuna win (55%). Probabilities: Osasuna 55%, draw 26%, Levante 20%.
How many goals are expected in Osasuna vs Levante?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Osasuna 1.74 · Levante 0.95), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Osasuna vs Levante?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.