Football · Spain La Liga · 29/08, 17:00

Prediction: Levante vs Real Betis

Team pages: Levante · Real Betis

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

Levante1.14

Real Betis1.34

1X2

31% 29% 40%

Levante Draw Real Betis

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Levante 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDLWWWLL

Real Betis 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDWDWDWLWW

Head-to-head

Levante 1–1–4 Real Betis (6 last)

Real Betis2-1Levante
Levante2-2Real Betis
Levante2-4Real Betis
Real Betis3-1Levante
Real Betis2-0Levante
Levante4-3Real Betis

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Levante 1523 · Real Betis 1596

	Levante	Draw	Real Betis
Our model	30%	30%	40%
Market	31%	28%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Betis (rating 1523 vs 1596).
H2H favours Real Betis: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Levante	Real Betis
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	1.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.5	1.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.5	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.30

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 3.00▲	Pinn 3.22 ★
X	3.40 → 3.30▼	Pinn 3.39
2	2.55 → 2.30▼	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.1% Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:00 +52’	2.60	3.40	2.55
16:33 +4’	3.00▲	3.30▼	2.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:36 +11’	3.19	3.35	2.23
20:14 +6’	3.22▲	3.39▲	2.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Levante 1–1–4 Real Betis

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Spain La Liga	Real Betis	2-1 HT 1-1	Levante
14/09/25 Spain La Liga	Levante	2-2 HT 2-1	Real Betis
13/02/22 Spain La Liga	Levante	2-4 HT 1-3	Real Betis
28/11/21 Spain La Liga	Real Betis	3-1 HT 0-1	Levante
19/03/21 Spain La Liga	Real Betis	2-0 HT 0-0	Levante
29/12/20 Spain La Liga	Levante	4-3 HT 3-1	Real Betis

Standings · Spain La Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
2	CD Alaves	2	1	1	0	4	1	4
3	Espanyol	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
4	Atletico Madrid	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
5	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
6	Real Betis	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
7	Racing Santander	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
7	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
9	Elche	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
9	Deportivo A Coruna	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
11	Celta Vigo	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
11	Valencia	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
13	Rayo Vallecano	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
14	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Real Sociedad	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
17	Athletic Bilbao	1	0	0	1	1	3	0
18	Malaga	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
19	Getafe	1	0	0	1	0	3	0
19	Levante	1	0	0	1	0	3	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Levante	Real Betis
Espanyol	0-3 L	0-0 D
Osasuna	3-2 W	1-1 D
Real Sociedad	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Real Betis (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Levante

LWWDLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Espanyol Spain La Liga	0-2	0-3	1	3	L
23/05	Real Betis Spain La Liga	1-1	1-2	8	3	L
17/05	Mallorca Spain La Liga	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
12/05	Celta Vigo Spain La Liga	1-1	3-2	4	2	W
08/05	Osasuna Spain La Liga	2-2	3-2	15	3	W
02/05	Villarreal Spain La Liga	0-1	1-5	3	4	L
27/04	Espanyol Spain La Liga	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
23/04	Sevilla Spain La Liga	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
13/04	Getafe Spain La Liga	0-0	1-0	8	8	W
04/04	Real Sociedad Spain La Liga	0-1	0-2	5	5	L

Real Betis

DDWDWDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Real Sociedad Spain La Liga	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
23/05	Levante Spain La Liga	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
17/05	Barcelona Spain La Liga	0-1	1-3	4	1	L
12/05	Elche Spain La Liga	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
09/05	Real Sociedad Spain La Liga	1-0	2-2	3	5	D
03/05	Oviedo Spain La Liga	2-0	3-0	5	0	W
24/04	Real Madrid Spain La Liga	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
21/04	Girona Spain La Liga	1-1	3-2	1	4	W
12/04	Osasuna Spain La Liga	1-1	1-1	3	7	D
04/04	Espanyol Spain La Liga	0-0	0-0	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Levante vs Real Betis?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Real Betis win (40%). Probabilities: Levante 31%, draw 29%, Real Betis 40%.

How many goals are expected in Levante vs Real Betis?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Levante 1.14 · Real Betis 1.34), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Levante vs Real Betis?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.