Football · Spain La Liga · 07/09, 21:30

Prediction: Elche vs Real Sociedad

Team pages: Elche · Real Sociedad

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Elche1.46
Real Sociedad1.48
1X2
36% 28% 37%
Elche Draw Real Sociedad
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Elche 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WWLDLWDDLL
Real Sociedad 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
LDLDDLDLLW
Head-to-head
Elche 0–1–5 Real Sociedad (6 last)
  • Real Sociedad3-1Elche
  • Elche1-1Real Sociedad
  • Real Sociedad2-0Elche
  • Elche0-1Real Sociedad
  • Elche1-2Real Sociedad
  • Real Sociedad1-0Elche
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Elche 1498 · Real Sociedad 1468
ElcheDrawReal Sociedad
Our model36%27%37%
Market36%28%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Real Sociedad: 5-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ElcheReal Sociedad
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.91.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 1.10.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.82.4 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.45.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Elche 015 Real Sociedad

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/02/26
Spain La Liga
Real Sociedad3-1
HT 2-1
Elche
07/11/25
Spain La Liga
Elche1-1
HT 0-0
Real Sociedad
19/03/23
Spain La Liga
Real Sociedad2-0
HT 0-0
Elche
27/08/22
Spain La Liga
Elche0-1
HT 0-1
Real Sociedad
10/04/22
Spain La Liga
Elche1-2
HT 1-2
Real Sociedad
26/09/21
Spain La Liga
Real Sociedad1-0
HT 0-0
Elche

Standings · Spain La Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Atletico Madrid 3210 737
2 CD Alaves 3210 517
3 Barcelona 2200 706
4 Real Madrid 2200 626
5 Sevilla 3201 656
6 Real Betis 3201 456
7 Osasuna 2110 214
8 Levante 3111 554
8 Racing Santander 3111 554
10 Espanyol 3102 543
11 Getafe 2101 133
12 Real Sociedad 3102 363
13 Deportivo A Coruna 2020 222
14 Villarreal 3021 452
15 Rayo Vallecano 2011 231
16 Celta Vigo 2011 121
17 Valencia 2011 011
18 Malaga 2011 131
19 Elche 3012 391
20 Athletic Bilbao 2002 150

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentElcheReal Sociedad
Girona 1-1 D 1-1 D
Getafe 1-0 W 0-1 L
Real Betis 1-2 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Elche (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Elche

WWLDLWDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/08 Racing Santander
Spain La Liga
0-3 2-3 103 L
23/08 Barcelona
Spain La Liga
0-2 0-5 31 L
17/08 Deportivo A Coruna
Spain La Liga
0-1 1-1 64 D
23/05 Girona
Spain La Liga
1-0 1-1 18 D
17/05 Getafe
Spain La Liga
1-0 1-0 43 W
12/05 Real Betis
Spain La Liga
1-1 1-2 16 L
09/05 CD Alaves
Spain La Liga
0-0 1-1 79 D
03/05 Celta Vigo
Spain La Liga
0-2 1-3 23 L
26/04 Oviedo
Spain La Liga
2-0 2-1 13 W
22/04 Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga
2-2 3-2 135 W

Real Sociedad

LDLDDLDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Espanyol
Spain La Liga
1-1 2-1 76 W
26/08 Real Madrid
Spain La Liga
1-1 1-4 76 L
21/08 Real Betis
Spain La Liga
0-0 0-1 56 L
23/05 Espanyol
Spain La Liga
1-0 1-1 54 D
17/05 Valencia
Spain La Liga
1-2 3-4 35 L
14/05 Girona
Spain La Liga
1-0 1-1 39 D
09/05 Real Betis
Spain La Liga
0-1 2-2 45 D
04/05 Sevilla
Spain La Liga
0-0 0-1 33 L
26/04 Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga
1-1 3-3 48 D
22/04 Getafe
Spain La Liga
0-1 0-1 67 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Elche vs Real Sociedad?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Real Sociedad win (37%). Probabilities: Elche 36%, draw 28%, Real Sociedad 37%.

How many goals are expected in Elche vs Real Sociedad?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Elche 1.46 · Real Sociedad 1.48), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Elche vs Real Sociedad?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.