Football · Spain La Liga · 06/09, 21:00
Prediction: Espanyol vs Sevilla
Team pages: Espanyol · Sevilla
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Espanyol1.29
Sevilla1.07
1X2
Espanyol
Draw
Sevilla
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Espanyol
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Sevilla
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Espanyol
1–1–4
Sevilla
(6 last)
- Sevilla2-1Espanyol
- Espanyol2-1Sevilla
- Sevilla1-1Espanyol
- Espanyol0-2Sevilla
- Sevilla3-2Espanyol
- Espanyol2-3Sevilla
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Espanyol 1500 · Sevilla 1530
| Espanyol | Draw | Sevilla | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 30% | 29% |
| Market | 41% | 30% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sevilla: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Espanyol | Sevilla | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.6 | 1.7 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Espanyol 1–1–4 Sevilla
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Spain La Liga | Sevilla | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Espanyol |
| 24/11/25 Spain La Liga | Espanyol | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Sevilla |
| 25/01/25 Spain La Liga | Sevilla | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Espanyol |
| 25/10/24 Spain La Liga | Espanyol | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Sevilla |
| 04/05/23 Spain La Liga | Sevilla | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Espanyol |
| 10/09/22 Spain La Liga | Espanyol | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Sevilla |
Standings · Spain La Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | CD Alaves | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Real Betis | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Levante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Racing Santander | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Espanyol | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Getafe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Deportivo A Coruna | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 | Villarreal | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 15 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Valencia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Malaga | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 | Elche | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
| 20 | Athletic Bilbao | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Espanyol | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Real Madrid | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Levante | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Osasuna | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Athletic Bilbao | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Rayo Vallecano | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Espanyol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Real Sociedad Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Real Madrid Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Levante Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Real Sociedad Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Osasuna Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Sevilla Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 03/05 | Real Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 27/04 | Levante Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 23/04 | Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
Sevilla
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 23/05 | Celta Vigo Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Real Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Villarreal Spain La Liga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Espanyol Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 04/05 | Real Sociedad Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Osasuna Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/04 | Levante Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Espanyol vs Sevilla?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Espanyol win (40%). Probabilities: Espanyol 40%, draw 30%, Sevilla 30%.
How many goals are expected in Espanyol vs Sevilla?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Espanyol 1.29 · Sevilla 1.07), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Espanyol vs Sevilla?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.