Prediction: Valencia vs Barcelona
Team pages: Valencia · Barcelona
- Valencia3-1Barcelona
- Barcelona6-0Valencia
- Valencia0-5Barcelona
- Barcelona7-1Valencia
- Valencia1-2Barcelona
- Barcelona4-2Valencia
| Valencia | Draw | Barcelona | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 23% | 62% |
| Market | 16% | 21% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barcelona (rating 1472 vs 1620).
- H2H favours Barcelona: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Valencia | Barcelona | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 2.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 1 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/90/0% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.6 | 3.3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valencia 1–0–5 Barcelona
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Spain La Liga | Valencia | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Barcelona |
| 14/09/25 Spain La Liga | Barcelona | 6-0 HT 1-0 | Valencia |
| 06/02/25 Spain Copa del Rey | Valencia | 0-5 HT 0-4 | Barcelona |
| 26/01/25 Spain La Liga | Barcelona | 7-1 HT 5-0 | Valencia |
| 17/08/24 Spain La Liga | Valencia | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Barcelona |
| 29/04/24 Spain La Liga | Barcelona | 4-2 HT 1-2 | Valencia |
Standings · Spain La Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | CD Alaves | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Real Betis | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Levante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Racing Santander | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Espanyol | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Getafe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Deportivo A Coruna | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 | Villarreal | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 15 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Valencia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Malaga | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 | Elche | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
| 20 | Athletic Bilbao | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Valencia | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Celta Vigo | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Athletic Bilbao | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Elche | 0-1 L | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Barcelona (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valencia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Real Betis Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Celta Vigo Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Barcelona Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Real Sociedad Spain La Liga |
2-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Girona Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/04 | Mallorca Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Elche Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
Barcelona
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Elche Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Valencia Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Real Betis Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | CD Alaves Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Real Madrid Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Osasuna Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Getafe Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/04 | Celta Vigo Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Espanyol Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valencia vs Barcelona?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Barcelona win (63%). Probabilities: Valencia 15%, draw 22%, Barcelona 63%.
How many goals are expected in Valencia vs Barcelona?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Valencia 0.85 · Barcelona 1.96), with a 58% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Valencia vs Barcelona?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.