Football · Spain La Liga · 07/09, 19:00

Prediction: Getafe vs Celta Vigo

Team pages: Getafe · Celta Vigo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.82Total
Getafe0.95
Celta Vigo0.87
1X2
35% 34% 31%
Getafe Draw Celta Vigo
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Getafe 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWLLDWLWLW
Celta Vigo 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLLWWLDWDL
Head-to-head
Getafe 2–2–2 Celta Vigo (6 last)
  • Getafe0-0Celta Vigo
  • Celta Vigo0-2Getafe
  • Getafe1-2Celta Vigo
  • Celta Vigo1-0Getafe
  • Getafe3-2Celta Vigo
  • Celta Vigo2-2Getafe
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Getafe 1493 · Celta Vigo 1510
GetafeDrawCelta Vigo
Our model35%35%30%
Market36%33%31%
Estimated total (ours) 1.82 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GetafeCelta Vigo
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 11 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.30.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.61.3 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.3 / 0.63.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Getafe 222 Celta Vigo

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/02/26
Spain La Liga
Getafe0-0
HT 0-0
Celta Vigo
17/08/25
Spain La Liga
Celta Vigo0-2
HT 0-0
Getafe
24/05/25
Spain La Liga
Getafe1-2
HT 1-1
Celta Vigo
04/11/24
Spain La Liga
Celta Vigo1-0
HT 1-0
Getafe
11/02/24
Spain La Liga
Getafe3-2
HT 2-0
Celta Vigo
08/10/23
Spain La Liga
Celta Vigo2-2
HT 2-2
Getafe

Standings · Spain La Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Atletico Madrid 3210 737
2 CD Alaves 3210 517
3 Barcelona 2200 706
4 Real Madrid 2200 626
5 Sevilla 3201 656
6 Real Betis 3201 456
7 Osasuna 2110 214
8 Levante 3111 554
8 Racing Santander 3111 554
10 Espanyol 3102 543
11 Getafe 2101 133
12 Real Sociedad 3102 363
13 Deportivo A Coruna 2020 222
14 Villarreal 3021 452
15 Rayo Vallecano 2011 231
16 Celta Vigo 2011 121
17 Valencia 2011 011
18 Malaga 2011 131
19 Elche 3012 391
20 Athletic Bilbao 2002 150

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGetafeCelta Vigo
Osasuna 1-0 W 1-2 L
Elche 0-1 L 3-1 W
Oviedo 0-0 D 0-3 L
Barcelona 0-2 L 0-1 L
Levante 0-1 L 2-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 3 L 1 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Getafe

LWLLDWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Racing Santander
Spain La Liga
0-0 1-0 W
15/08 CD Alaves
Spain La Liga
0-0 0-3 38 L
23/05 Osasuna
Spain La Liga
0-0 1-0 22 W
17/05 Elche
Spain La Liga
0-1 0-1 03 L
13/05 Mallorca
Spain La Liga
2-0 3-1 37 W
10/05 Oviedo
Spain La Liga
0-0 0-0 96 D
03/05 Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga
0-1 0-2 48 L
25/04 Barcelona
Spain La Liga
0-1 0-2 64 L
22/04 Real Sociedad
Spain La Liga
1-0 1-0 37 W
13/04 Levante
Spain La Liga
0-0 0-1 28 L

Celta Vigo

LLLWWLDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/08 Osasuna
Spain La Liga
1-0 1-2 52 L
22/08 Valencia
Spain La Liga
0-0 0-0 25 D
23/05 Sevilla
Spain La Liga
0-0 1-0 41 W
17/05 Athletic Bilbao
Spain La Liga
1-0 1-1 04 D
12/05 Levante
Spain La Liga
1-1 2-3 42 L
09/05 Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga
0-0 1-0 03 W
03/05 Elche
Spain La Liga
2-0 3-1 43 W
26/04 Villarreal
Spain La Liga
0-2 1-2 58 L
22/04 Barcelona
Spain La Liga
0-1 0-1 32 L
12/04 Oviedo
Spain La Liga
0-2 0-3 43 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Getafe vs Celta Vigo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Getafe win (35%). Probabilities: Getafe 35%, draw 34%, Celta Vigo 31%.

How many goals are expected in Getafe vs Celta Vigo?

The model expects 1.82 goals (Getafe 0.95 · Celta Vigo 0.87), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Getafe vs Celta Vigo?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.