Football · Spain La Liga · 04/09, 21:00

Prediction: Real Betis vs Real Madrid

Team pages: Real Betis · Real Madrid

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Real Betis1.06
Real Madrid1.89
1X2
20% 23% 56%
Real Betis Draw Real Madrid
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Real Betis 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WDWDWLWWWL
Real Madrid 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
DWDWLWWWWW
Head-to-head
Real Betis 1–3–2 Real Madrid (6 last)
  • Real Betis1-1Real Madrid
  • Real Madrid5-1Real Betis
  • Real Betis2-1Real Madrid
  • Real Madrid2-0Real Betis
  • Real Madrid0-0Real Betis
  • Real Betis1-1Real Madrid
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Betis 1567 · Real Madrid 1630
Real BetisDrawReal Madrid
Our model20%24%56%
Market21%23%57%
Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Madrid (rating 1567 vs 1630).
  • H2H favours Real Madrid: 2-3-1.
  • High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Real BetisReal Madrid
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.51.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.70.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.63.1 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.23.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Betis 132 Real Madrid

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/04/26
Spain La Liga
Real Betis1-1
HT 0-1
Real Madrid
04/01/26
Spain La Liga
Real Madrid5-1
HT 1-0
Real Betis
01/03/25
Spain La Liga
Real Betis2-1
HT 1-1
Real Madrid
01/09/24
Spain La Liga
Real Madrid2-0
HT 0-0
Real Betis
25/05/24
Spain La Liga
Real Madrid0-0
HT 0-0
Real Betis
09/12/23
Spain La Liga
Real Betis1-1
HT 0-0
Real Madrid

Standings · Spain La Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Atletico Madrid 3210 737
2 CD Alaves 3210 517
3 Barcelona 2200 706
4 Real Madrid 2200 626
5 Sevilla 3201 656
6 Real Betis 3201 456
7 Osasuna 2110 214
8 Levante 3111 554
8 Racing Santander 3111 554
10 Espanyol 3102 543
11 Getafe 2101 133
12 Real Sociedad 3102 363
13 Deportivo A Coruna 2020 222
14 Villarreal 3021 452
15 Rayo Vallecano 2011 231
16 Celta Vigo 2011 121
17 Valencia 2011 011
18 Malaga 2011 131
19 Elche 3012 391
20 Athletic Bilbao 2002 150

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentReal BetisReal Madrid
Real Sociedad 1-0 W 4-1 W
Barcelona 1-3 L 0-2 L
Oviedo 3-0 W 2-0 W
Girona 3-2 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Real Betis (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Betis

WDWDWLWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Levante
Spain La Liga
2-2 2-5 82 L
25/08 Valencia
Spain La Liga
0-0 1-0 23 W
21/08 Real Sociedad
Spain La Liga
0-0 1-0 46 W
23/05 Levante
Spain La Liga
1-1 2-1 43 W
17/05 Barcelona
Spain La Liga
0-1 1-3 41 L
12/05 Elche
Spain La Liga
1-1 2-1 86 W
09/05 Real Sociedad
Spain La Liga
1-0 2-2 35 D
03/05 Oviedo
Spain La Liga
2-0 3-0 50 W
24/04 Real Madrid
Spain La Liga
0-1 1-1 73 D
21/04 Girona
Spain La Liga
1-1 3-2 14 W

Real Madrid

DWDWLWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/08 Real Sociedad
Spain La Liga
1-1 4-1 46 W
22/08 Espanyol
Spain La Liga
1-1 2-1 86 W
23/05 Athletic Bilbao
Spain La Liga
2-1 4-2 22 W
17/05 Sevilla
Spain La Liga
1-0 1-0 43 W
14/05 Oviedo
Spain La Liga
1-0 2-0 40 W
10/05 Barcelona
Spain La Liga
0-2 0-2 86 L
03/05 Espanyol
Spain La Liga
0-0 2-0 67 W
24/04 Real Betis
Spain La Liga
1-0 1-1 63 D
21/04 CD Alaves
Spain La Liga
1-0 2-1 92 W
10/04 Girona
Spain La Liga
0-0 1-1 103 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Betis vs Real Madrid?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Real Madrid win (56%). Probabilities: Real Betis 20%, draw 23%, Real Madrid 56%.

How many goals are expected in Real Betis vs Real Madrid?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Real Betis 1.06 · Real Madrid 1.89), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Betis vs Real Madrid?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.