Football · Spain La Liga · 11/10, 18:30

Prediction: Real Betis vs Osasuna

Team pages: Real Betis · Osasuna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Real Betis1.93

Osasuna0.93

1X2

60% 23% 17%

Real Betis Draw Osasuna

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Betis 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWLWWW

Osasuna 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDWWLLLD

Head-to-head

Real Betis 4–2–0 Osasuna (6 last)

Osasuna1-1Real Betis
Real Betis2-0Osasuna
Real Betis1-1Osasuna
Osasuna1-2Real Betis
Osasuna0-2Real Betis
Real Betis2-1Osasuna

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Betis 1586 · Osasuna 1417

	Real Betis	Draw	Osasuna
Our model	60%	24%	17%
Market	60%	23%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Betis (rating 1586 vs 1417).
H2H favours Real Betis: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Betis	Osasuna
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	0.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.7	2.1 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.55

X4.00

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.55▼	Pinn 1.56
X	3.90 → 4.00▲	Pinn 4.24 ★
2	5.25 → 5.50▲	Pinn 5.60

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.7% Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:27 +10’	1.57	3.90	5.25
09:48 +2’	1.55▼	4.00▲	5.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:02 +901’	1.56	4.24	5.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Betis 4–2–0 Osasuna

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Spain La Liga	Osasuna	1-1 HT 1-1	Real Betis
28/09/25 Spain La Liga	Real Betis	2-0 HT 2-0	Osasuna
11/05/25 Spain La Liga	Real Betis	1-1 HT 0-0	Osasuna
19/10/24 Spain La Liga	Osasuna	1-2 HT 0-1	Real Betis
05/05/24 Spain La Liga	Osasuna	0-2 HT 0-2	Real Betis
29/10/23 Spain La Liga	Real Betis	2-1 HT 1-0	Osasuna

Standings · Spain La Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	21
2	Real Madrid	6	5	0	1	17	6	15
3	Real Betis	6	5	0	1	8	6	15
4	Atletico Madrid	6	4	1	1	14	6	13
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	13
6	CD Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	11
7	Deportivo A Coruna	6	2	3	1	9	7	9
8	Athletic Bilbao	6	2	2	2	7	6	8
9	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	8
10	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	8
11	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	7
12	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	7
13	Real Sociedad	6	2	1	3	6	11	7
14	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	7
15	Villarreal	6	1	2	3	10	11	5
16	Levante	5	1	2	2	7	9	5
17	Getafe	6	1	2	3	3	7	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	5
19	Valencia	6	1	1	4	2	10	4
20	Malaga	6	0	3	3	3	11	3

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Betis	Osasuna
Getafe	1-0 W	1-0 W
Levante	2-5 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Osasuna (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Betis

DWLWWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	Getafe Spain La Liga	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
14/09	Villarreal Spain La Liga	2-1	2-1	4	1	W
04/09	Real Madrid Spain La Liga	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
29/08	Levante Spain La Liga	2-2	2-5	8	2	L
25/08	Valencia Spain La Liga	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
21/08	Real Sociedad Spain La Liga	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
23/05	Levante Spain La Liga	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
17/05	Barcelona Spain La Liga	0-1	1-3	4	1	L
12/05	Elche Spain La Liga	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
09/05	Real Sociedad Spain La Liga	1-0	2-2	3	5	D

Osasuna

LLLDWWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
16/09	Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga	0-1	0-4	0	3	L
12/09	Espanyol Spain La Liga	0-2	0-2	3	5	L
06/09	CD Alaves Spain La Liga	0-2	2-5	1	3	L
31/08	Getafe Spain La Liga	1-0	1-0	1	9	W
27/08	Celta Vigo Spain La Liga	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
24/08	Levante Spain La Liga	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
23/05	Getafe Spain La Liga	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
17/05	Espanyol Spain La Liga	0-1	1-2	9	3	L
12/05	Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga	0-1	1-2	8	11	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Betis vs Osasuna?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Betis win (60%). Probabilities: Real Betis 60%, draw 23%, Osasuna 17%.

How many goals are expected in Real Betis vs Osasuna?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Real Betis 1.93 · Osasuna 0.93), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Betis vs Osasuna?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.