Football · Spain La Liga · 17/10, 18:30

Prediction: Real Betis vs Barcelona

Team pages: Real Betis · Barcelona

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.03Total

Real Betis1.29

Barcelona2.73

1X2

16% 17% 67%

Real Betis Draw Barcelona

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Betis 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Barcelona 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Real Betis 0–2–4 Barcelona (6 last)

Barcelona3-1Real Betis
Real Betis3-5Barcelona
Barcelona1-1Real Betis
Barcelona5-1Real Betis
Real Betis2-2Barcelona
Real Betis2-4Barcelona

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Betis 1562 · Barcelona 1643

	Real Betis	Draw	Barcelona
Our model	15%	18%	67%
Market	16%	16%	68%

Estimated total (ours) 4.03 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barcelona (rating 1562 vs 1643).
H2H favours Barcelona: 4-2-0.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Betis	Barcelona
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.3	3.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	1.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 4.9	4 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

16.00

X5.75

21.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.82

2 (-1.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.88

Under 3.751.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 8 moves · last 16:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.50 → 6.00▼	Pinn 6.16 ★
X	5.00 → 5.75▲	Bet365 5.75
2	1.38 → 1.40▲	Pinn 1.42

See the full journey (8)

Bet365 margin 5.5% Pinnacle margin 3.9%

Time*	1	X	2
08:51 +20’	6.50	5.00	1.38
14:28 +2’	5.25▼	4.50▼	1.50▲
14:59 +8’	5.00▼	5.25▲	1.50
06:12 +2’	5.00	5.25	1.48▼
16:29 +6’	5.25▲	5.50▲	1.48
01:08 +6’	5.75▲	5.50	1.42▼
08:28 +2’	6.25▲	5.75▲	1.38▼
16:11 +4’	6.00▼	5.75	1.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:02 +9’	5.02	4.43	1.42
11:45 +28’	5.11▲	4.50▲	1.43▲
13:42 +46’	5.38▲	4.60▲	1.40▼
14:04 +27’	4.40▼	4.63▲	1.49▲
17:47 +11’	3.63▼	5.61▲	1.51▲
20:01 +68’	3.64▲	5.55▼	1.51▲
10:47 +52’	3.66▲	5.56▲	1.51▼
07:38 +52’	6.26▲	5.68▲	1.39▼
21:18 +21’	6.16▼	5.75▲	1.42▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Betis 0–2–4 Barcelona

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Spain La Liga	Barcelona	3-1 HT 1-0	Real Betis
06/12/25 Spain La Liga	Real Betis	3-5 HT 1-4	Barcelona
05/04/25 Spain La Liga	Barcelona	1-1 HT 1-1	Real Betis
15/01/25 Spain Copa del Rey	Barcelona	5-1 HT 2-0	Real Betis
07/12/24 Spain La Liga	Real Betis	2-2 HT 0-1	Barcelona
21/01/24 Spain La Liga	Real Betis	2-4 HT 0-1	Barcelona

Standings · Spain La Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barcelona	8	8	0	0	34	7	24
2	Atletico Madrid	8	6	1	1	18	8	19
3	Real Madrid	8	6	0	2	19	8	18
4	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	16
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	13
6	CD Alaves	8	3	2	3	12	8	11
7	Deportivo A Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	10
9	Athletic Bilbao	6	2	2	2	7	6	8
10	Villarreal	8	2	2	4	13	13	8
11	Espanyol	8	2	2	4	11	11	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	8
13	Getafe	8	2	2	4	4	10	8
14	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	8
15	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	5
19	Malaga	8	0	4	4	4	13	4
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Betis	Barcelona
Getafe	1-0 W	3-0 W
Levante	2-5 L	4-2 W
Valencia	1-0 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Barcelona (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Betis

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Osasuna Spain La Liga	2-0	5-2	8	7	W
20/09	Deportivo A Coruna Spain La Liga	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
17/09	Getafe Spain La Liga	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
14/09	Villarreal Spain La Liga	2-1	2-1	4	1	W
04/09	Real Madrid Spain La Liga	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
29/08	Levante Spain La Liga	2-2	2-5	8	2	L
25/08	Valencia Spain La Liga	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
21/08	Real Sociedad Spain La Liga	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
23/05	Levante Spain La Liga	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
17/05	Barcelona Spain La Liga	0-1	1-3	4	1	L

Barcelona

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Getafe Spain La Liga	2-0	3-0	9	6	W
19/09	Sevilla Spain La Liga	1-1	3-1	3	1	W
16/09	Racing Santander Spain La Liga	4-1	7-2	18	5	W
13/09	Levante Spain La Liga	2-0	4-2	5	2	W
06/09	Valencia Spain La Liga	2-0	5-0	4	4	W
31/08	Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga	2-1	5-2	9	1	W
27/08	Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga	1-0	2-0	12	3	W
23/08	Elche Spain La Liga	2-0	5-0	1	1	W
23/05	Valencia Spain La Liga	0-0	1-3	8	4	L
17/05	Real Betis Spain La Liga	1-0	3-1	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Betis vs Barcelona?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Barcelona win (67%). Probabilities: Real Betis 16%, draw 17%, Barcelona 67%.

How many goals are expected in Real Betis vs Barcelona?

The model expects 4.03 goals (Real Betis 1.29 · Barcelona 2.73), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Betis vs Barcelona?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.