Football · Spain La Liga · 19/10, 21:00

Prediction: Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano

Team pages: Getafe · Rayo Vallecano

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.13Total
Getafe1.04
Rayo Vallecano1.09
1X2
33% 32% 35%
Getafe Draw Rayo Vallecano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Getafe 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LWLWLDDLWL
Rayo Vallecano 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DWWLDLWLWD
Head-to-head
Getafe 0–3–3 Rayo Vallecano (6 last)
  • Getafe0-2Rayo Vallecano
  • Rayo Vallecano1-1Getafe
  • Rayo Vallecano1-0Getafe
  • Getafe0-0Rayo Vallecano
  • Rayo Vallecano0-0Getafe
  • Getafe0-2Rayo Vallecano
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Getafe 1490 · Rayo Vallecano 1518
GetafeDrawRayo Vallecano
Our model33%32%35%
Market33%32%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Rayo Vallecano: 3-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GetafeRayo Vallecano
Goals for / against (FT)0.5 / 1.11.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.50.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 3.22.2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.43.9 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Getafe 0–3–3 Rayo Vallecano

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Spain La Liga
Getafe0-2
HT 0-1
Rayo Vallecano
02/01/26
Spain La Liga
Rayo Vallecano1-1
HT 1-0
Getafe
02/05/25
Spain La Liga
Rayo Vallecano1-0
HT 1-0
Getafe
24/08/24
Spain La Liga
Getafe0-0
HT 0-0
Rayo Vallecano
13/04/24
Spain La Liga
Rayo Vallecano0-0
HT 0-0
Getafe
02/01/24
Spain La Liga
Getafe0-2
HT 0-1
Rayo Vallecano

Standings · Spain La Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Barcelona 8800 34724
2 Atletico Madrid 8611 18819
3 Real Betis 8611 14919
4 Real Madrid 8602 19818
5 Sevilla 8422 131214
6 Real Sociedad 8413 121513
7 CD Alaves 8323 12811
8 Deportivo A Coruna 8242 121110
9 Celta Vigo 8152 868
10 Athletic Bilbao 6222 768
11 Villarreal 8224 13138
12 Espanyol 8224 11118
13 Rayo Vallecano 7223 11168
14 Getafe 8224 4108
15 Racing Santander 8224 13238
16 Osasuna 8224 8188
17 Levante 7133 11156
18 Elche 8134 11176
19 Valencia 8125 6155
20 Malaga 8044 4134

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGetafeRayo Vallecano
Barcelona 0-3 L 2-5 L
Osasuna 0-1 L 1-1 D
Racing Santander 1-0 W 3-2 W
CD Alaves 0-3 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Rayo Vallecano (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Getafe

LWLWLDDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Barcelona
Spain La Liga
0-2 0-3 26 L
20/09 Malaga
Spain La Liga
0-0 1-0 56 W
17/09 Real Betis
Spain La Liga
0-1 0-1 36 L
13/09 Deportivo A Coruna
Spain La Liga
0-0 1-1 34 D
07/09 Celta Vigo
Spain La Liga
1-0 1-1 36 D
31/08 Osasuna
Spain La Liga
0-1 0-1 39 L
23/08 Racing Santander
Spain La Liga
0-0 1-0 84 W
15/08 CD Alaves
Spain La Liga
0-0 0-3 38 L
23/05 Osasuna
Spain La Liga
0-0 1-0 22 W
17/05 Elche
Spain La Liga
0-1 0-1 03 L

Rayo Vallecano

DWWLDLWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Osasuna
Spain La Liga
0-1 1-1 44 D
15/09 Espanyol
Spain La Liga
2-0 2-1 37 W
12/09 Real Madrid
Spain La Liga
0-3 1-4 51 L
05/09 Racing Santander
Spain La Liga
2-2 3-2 96 W
31/08 Barcelona
Spain La Liga
1-2 2-5 51 L
20/08 CD Alaves
Spain La Liga
0-0 1-1 93 D
15/08 Sevilla
Spain La Liga
1-0 1-2 29 L
23/05 CD Alaves
Spain La Liga
0-1 2-1 56 W
17/05 Villarreal
Spain La Liga
1-0 2-0 13 W
14/05 Valencia
Spain La Liga
1-1 1-1 12 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rayo Vallecano win (35%). Probabilities: Getafe 33%, draw 32%, Rayo Vallecano 35%.

How many goals are expected in Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?

The model expects 2.13 goals (Getafe 1.04 · Rayo Vallecano 1.09), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.