Football · Spain La Liga · 12/10, 21:00

Prediction: Levante vs Sevilla

Team pages: Levante · Sevilla

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

Levante1.32

Sevilla1.28

1X2

37% 29% 35%

Levante Draw Sevilla

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Levante 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLDWDL

Sevilla 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLDWWL

Head-to-head

Levante 2–4 Sevilla (6 last)

Levante2-0Sevilla
Sevilla0-3Levante
Levante2-3Sevilla
Sevilla5-3Levante
Levante0-1Sevilla
Sevilla1-0Levante

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Levante 1518 · Sevilla 1533

	Levante	Draw	Sevilla
Our model	37%	29%	35%
Market	37%	29%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sevilla: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Levante	Sevilla
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 5.1	1.5 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.25

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 2.61
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 2.79 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7% Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:27 +10’	2.55	3.25	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:09 +834’	2.61	3.25	2.79

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Levante 2–0–4 Sevilla

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/04/26 Spain La Liga	Levante	2-0 HT 1-0	Sevilla
04/01/26 Spain La Liga	Sevilla	0-3 HT 0-1	Levante
21/04/22 Spain La Liga	Levante	2-3 HT 1-2	Sevilla
24/10/21 Spain La Liga	Sevilla	5-3 HT 3-1	Levante
21/04/21 Spain La Liga	Levante	0-1 HT 0-0	Sevilla
01/10/20 Spain La Liga	Sevilla	1-0 HT 0-0	Levante

Standings · Spain La Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	21
2	Real Madrid	6	5	0	1	17	6	15
3	Real Betis	6	5	0	1	8	6	15
4	Atletico Madrid	6	4	1	1	14	6	13
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	13
6	CD Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	11
7	Deportivo A Coruna	6	2	3	1	9	7	9
8	Athletic Bilbao	6	2	2	2	7	6	8
9	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	8
10	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	8
11	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	7
12	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	7
13	Real Sociedad	6	2	1	3	6	11	7
14	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	7
15	Villarreal	6	1	2	3	10	11	5
16	Levante	5	1	2	2	7	9	5
17	Getafe	6	1	2	3	3	7	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	5
19	Valencia	6	1	1	4	2	10	4
20	Malaga	6	0	3	3	3	11	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Levante	Sevilla
Barcelona	2-4 L	1-3 L
Espanyol	0-3 L	1-1 D
Celta Vigo	3-2 W	0-1 L
Villarreal	1-5 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sevilla (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Levante

LWWWLLDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Barcelona Spain La Liga	0-2	2-4	3	2	L
06/09	Malaga Spain La Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
29/08	Real Betis Spain La Liga	2-2	5-2	5	2	W
24/08	Osasuna Spain La Liga	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
16/08	Espanyol Spain La Liga	0-2	0-3	1	3	L
23/05	Real Betis Spain La Liga	1-1	1-2	8	3	L
17/05	Mallorca Spain La Liga	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
12/05	Celta Vigo Spain La Liga	1-1	3-2	4	2	W
08/05	Osasuna Spain La Liga	2-2	3-2	15	3	W
02/05	Villarreal Spain La Liga	0-1	1-5	3	4	L

Sevilla

WLLWWLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Barcelona Spain La Liga	1-1	1-3	1	1	L
16/09	Deportivo A Coruna Spain La Liga	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
11/09	Valencia Spain La Liga	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
06/09	Espanyol Spain La Liga	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
29/08	Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga	0-3	1-3	4	4	L
22/08	Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga	1-0	3-1	3	7	W
15/08	Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga	0-1	2-1	1	9	W
23/05	Celta Vigo Spain La Liga	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
17/05	Real Madrid Spain La Liga	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
13/05	Villarreal Spain La Liga	2-2	3-2	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Levante vs Sevilla?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Levante win (37%). Probabilities: Levante 37%, draw 29%, Sevilla 35%.

How many goals are expected in Levante vs Sevilla?

The model expects 2.61 goals (Levante 1.32 · Sevilla 1.28), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Levante vs Sevilla?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.