Prediction: Real Betis vs Malaga
Team pages: Real Betis · Malaga
- Malaga3-1Real Betis
- Real Betis2-1Malaga
- Malaga0-2Real Betis
- Malaga1-2Real Betis
- Real Betis1-0Malaga
- Real Betis0-1Malaga
| Real Betis | Draw | Malaga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 21% | 13% |
| Market | 67% | 20% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Betis (rating 1598 vs 1430).
- H2H favours Real Betis: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Betis | Malaga | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 0.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 4.7 | 2.2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Betis 4–0–2 Malaga
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/25 Europe Friendlies | Malaga | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Real Betis |
| 30/04/18 Spain La Liga | Real Betis | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Malaga |
| 18/12/17 Spain La Liga | Malaga | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Real Betis |
| 28/02/17 Spain La Liga | Malaga | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Real Betis |
| 23/09/16 Spain La Liga | Real Betis | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Malaga |
| 19/03/16 Spain La Liga | Real Betis | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Malaga |
Standings · Spain La Liga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 16 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 14 |
| 7 | CD Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 12 |
| 11 | Deportivo A Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 11 |
| 13 | Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 11 |
| 14 | Levante | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 10 |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 10 |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 9 |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 9 |
| 18 | Espanyol | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 8 |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 6 |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Betis | Malaga |
|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo A Coruna | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Getafe | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Villarreal | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Real Madrid | 1-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Levante | 2-5 L | 0-0 D |
| Real Sociedad | 1-0 W | 2-5 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Real Betis (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Betis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Celta Vigo Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | Barcelona Spain La Liga |
1-2 | 2-5 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/10 | Osasuna Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 5-2 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 20/09 | Deportivo A Coruna Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 17/09 | Getafe Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | Villarreal Spain La Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 04/09 | Real Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Levante Spain La Liga |
2-2 | 2-5 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 25/08 | Valencia Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | Real Sociedad Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Malaga
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | CD Alaves Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | Real Sociedad Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/10 | Espanyol Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 9 | D |
| 20/09 | Getafe Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 17/09 | Villarreal Spain La Liga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Celta Vigo Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Levante Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Real Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 24/08 | Deportivo A Coruna Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 19/08 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Betis vs Malaga?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Betis win (67%). Probabilities: Real Betis 67%, draw 20%, Malaga 13%.
How many goals are expected in Real Betis vs Malaga?
The model expects 3.09 goals (Real Betis 2.21 · Malaga 0.88), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Betis vs Malaga?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.