Prediction: Barcelona vs CD Alaves
Team pages: Barcelona · CD Alaves
- CD Alaves1-0Barcelona
- Barcelona3-1CD Alaves
- Barcelona1-0CD Alaves
- CD Alaves0-3Barcelona
- CD Alaves1-3Barcelona
- Barcelona2-1CD Alaves
| Barcelona | Draw | CD Alaves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 83% | 11% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barcelona (rating 1657 vs 1473).
- H2H favours Barcelona: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barcelona | CD Alaves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.8 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/20/0% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 7.4 | 1.5 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barcelona 5–0–1 CD Alaves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 Spain La Liga | CD Alaves | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Barcelona |
| 29/11/25 Spain La Liga | Barcelona | 3-1 HT 2-1 | CD Alaves |
| 02/02/25 Spain La Liga | Barcelona | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CD Alaves |
| 06/10/24 Spain La Liga | CD Alaves | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Barcelona |
| 03/02/24 Spain La Liga | CD Alaves | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Barcelona |
| 12/11/23 Spain La Liga | Barcelona | 2-1 HT 0-1 | CD Alaves |
Standings · Spain La Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 16 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 14 |
| 7 | CD Alaves | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 11 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Deportivo A Coruna | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 11 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 11 |
| 11 | Levante | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 10 |
| 12 | Villarreal | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 9 |
| 13 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 9 |
| 15 | Getafe | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 8 |
| 17 | Racing Santander | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 8 |
| 18 | Elche | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 7 |
| 19 | Valencia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 6 |
| 20 | Malaga | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Barcelona | CD Alaves |
|---|---|---|
| Getafe | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Racing Santander | 7-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Valencia | 5-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Rayo Vallecano | 5-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Athletic Bilbao | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Barcelona (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barcelona
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Real Betis Spain La Liga |
2-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | Getafe Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Sevilla Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 16/09 | Racing Santander Spain La Liga |
4-1 | 7-2 | 18 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Levante Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Valencia Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga |
2-1 | 5-2 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 27/08 | Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Elche Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Valencia Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
CD Alaves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Celta Vigo Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 15/09 | Valencia Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Racing Santander Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Osasuna Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 5-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Villarreal Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/08 | Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Getafe Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barcelona vs CD Alaves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Barcelona win (80%). Probabilities: Barcelona 80%, draw 12%, CD Alaves 7%.
How many goals are expected in Barcelona vs CD Alaves?
The model expects 3.98 goals (Barcelona 2.99 · CD Alaves 0.99), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Barcelona vs CD Alaves?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.